Football Prediction: Rio Ave vs Guimaraes

Rio Ave vs Guimaraes

H2H, Stats & Predictions

Venue: Estadio dos Arcos

1.89
D D D D D W

SCHEDULED -

1.79

D L W L L L

Kick Off: 14-12-2025 16:00 h. Mathematical Predictions: Over 2.5 DRAW

Rio Ave and Guimaraes face each other in the Portugal Primeira Liga match on Sunday 14th of December 2025. In the last five head-to-head matches the home team scored average of 2.00 goals, while the away team scored average of 1.50 goals. See the full head-to-head statistics in the table below.

In the last 10 matches Rio Ave have scored an average of 1.53 goals and conceded average of 1.53 goals while Guimaraes scored 1.39 goals and conceded 1.21 goals.

Poisson distribution algorithm

We use Poisson distribution algorithm that expresses the probability of a given number of goals (2.5) occurring in football matches. The formula takes the expected average number of goals for home and away team, and calculates percentage probability of the prediction on the website.

Most probable outcome for Rio Ave vs Guimaraes is:

Over 2.5 goals with a probability of 71.07%

Head to Head Record - Rio Ave vs. Guimaraes

Date	Competition	Match
26-04-2026	Portugal Primeira Liga 2025	Guimaraes	- (HT -)	Rio Ave
14-12-2025	Portugal Primeira Liga 2025	Rio Ave	- (HT -)	Guimaraes
27-04-2025	Portugal Primeira Liga 2024	Guimaraes	3-0 (HT 3-0)	Rio Ave
16-12-2024	Portugal Primeira Liga 2024	Rio Ave	2-2 (HT 2-0)	Guimaraes
04-05-2024	Portugal Primeira Liga 2023	Rio Ave	2-1 (HT 1-0)	Guimaraes
23-12-2023	Portugal Primeira Liga 2023	Guimaraes	1-0 (HT 0-0)	Rio Ave

Competition		Date
Portugal Primeira Liga		26-04-2026
Guimaraes	- (HT -)	Rio Ave
Portugal Primeira Liga		14-12-2025
Rio Ave	- (HT -)	Guimaraes
Portugal Primeira Liga		27-04-2025
Guimaraes	3-0 (HT 3-0)	Rio Ave
Portugal Primeira Liga		16-12-2024
Rio Ave	2-2 (HT 2-0)	Guimaraes
Portugal Primeira Liga		04-05-2024
Rio Ave	2-1 (HT 1-0)	Guimaraes
Portugal Primeira Liga		23-12-2023
Guimaraes	1-0 (HT 0-0)	Rio Ave