AVS vs Nacional

H2H, Stats & Predictions

Venue:

1.03
L L L L D L

SCHEDULED -

1.41

L L W L D L

Kick Off: 21-12-2025 18:00 h. Mathematical Predictions: Under 2.5 and DRAW

AVS and Nacional face each other in the Portugal Primeira Liga match on Sunday 21st of December 2025. The two teams have met 2 times in head-to-head matches. The home team scored average of 1.00 goals, while the away team scored average of 2.00 goals. See the full head-to-head statistics in the table below.

In the last 10 matches AVS have scored an average of 0.82 goals and conceded average of 0.82 goals while Nacional scored 0.74 goals and conceded 1.26 goals.

Poisson distribution algorithm

We use Poisson distribution algorithm that expresses the probability of a given number of goals (2.5) occurring in football matches. The formula takes the expected average number of goals for home and away team, and calculates percentage probability of the prediction on the website.

Most probable outcome for AVS vs Nacional is:

Under 2.5 goals with a probability of 55.94%

Head to Head Record - AVS vs. Nacional

Date	Competition	Match
03-05-2026	Portugal Primeira Liga 2025	Nacional	- (HT -)	AVS
21-12-2025	Portugal Primeira Liga 2025	AVS	- (HT -)	Nacional
19-01-2025	Portugal Primeira Liga 2024	Nacional	3-1 (HT 3-1)	AVS
10-08-2024	Portugal Primeira Liga 2024	AVS	1-1 (HT 0-1)	Nacional

Competition		Date
Portugal Primeira Liga		03-05-2026
Nacional	- (HT -)	AVS
Portugal Primeira Liga		21-12-2025
AVS	- (HT -)	Nacional
Portugal Primeira Liga		19-01-2025
Nacional	3-1 (HT 3-1)	AVS
Portugal Primeira Liga		10-08-2024
AVS	1-1 (HT 0-1)	Nacional

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