Football Prediction: Alverca vs FC Porto

Alverca vs FC Porto

H2H, Stats & Predictions

Venue:

2.61
L D L L D W

SCHEDULED -

1.63

W W W W D L

Kick Off: 21-12-2025 16:00 h. Mathematical Predictions: Over 2.5 Home WIN

Alverca and FC Porto face each other in the Portugal Primeira Liga match on Sunday 21st of December 2025. In the last five head-to-head matches the home team scored average of 0.00 goals, while the away team scored average of 0.00 goals. See the full head-to-head statistics in the table below.

In the last 10 matches Alverca have scored an average of 3.80 goals and conceded average of 3.80 goals while FC Porto scored 1.45 goals and conceded 1.12 goals.

Poisson distribution algorithm

We use Poisson distribution algorithm that expresses the probability of a given number of goals (2.5) occurring in football matches. The formula takes the expected average number of goals for home and away team, and calculates percentage probability of the prediction on the website.

Most probable outcome for Alverca vs FC Porto is:

Over 2.5 goals with a probability of 79.40%

Head to Head Record - Alverca vs. FC Porto

Date	Competition	Match
03-05-2026	Portugal Primeira Liga 2025	FC Porto	- (HT -)	Alverca
21-12-2025	Portugal Primeira Liga 2025	Alverca	- (HT -)	FC Porto

Competition		Date
Portugal Primeira Liga		03-05-2026
FC Porto	- (HT -)	Alverca
Portugal Primeira Liga		21-12-2025
Alverca	- (HT -)	FC Porto