Monday 8th of September 2025*All matches in UTC time.

Estrela vs Moreirense

H2H, Stats & Predictions

Venue: Estadio Jose Gomes

This is Logo of Home Team: Estrela 1.73
D D L D L L
SCHEDULED -
1.68 This is Logo of Away Team: Moreirense
L W W W W D
Kick Off: 21-12-2025 16:00 h. Mathematical Predictions: Over 2.5 DRAW
Estrela and Moreirense face each other in the Portugal Primeira Liga match on Sunday 21st of December 2025. In the last five head-to-head matches the home team scored average of 1.00 goals, while the away team scored average of 1.00 goals. See the full head-to-head statistics in the table below.

In the last 10 matches Estrela have scored an average of 1.17 goals and conceded average of 1.17 goals while Moreirense scored 1.03 goals and conceded 1.33 goals.

Poisson distribution algorithm

We use Poisson distribution algorithm that expresses the probability of a given number of goals (2.5) occurring in football matches. The formula takes the expected average number of goals for home and away team, and calculates percentage probability of the prediction on the website.

Most probable outcome for Estrela vs Moreirense is:

Over 2.5 goals with a probability of 66.13%

Head to Head Record - Estrela vs. Moreirense

Date Competition Match
03-05-2026 Portugal Primeira Liga 2025 Moreirense - (HT -) Estrela
21-12-2025 Portugal Primeira Liga 2025 Estrela - (HT -) Moreirense
02-03-2025 Portugal Primeira Liga 2024 Moreirense 1-1 (HT 0-0) Estrela
28-09-2024 Portugal Primeira Liga 2024 Estrela 2-1 (HT 2-0) Moreirense
07-04-2024 Portugal Primeira Liga 2023 Moreirense 2-2 (HT 2-0) Estrela
11-11-2023 Portugal Primeira Liga 2023 Estrela 0-1 (HT 0-0) Moreirense
Competition Date
Portugal Primeira Liga 03-05-2026
Moreirense - (HT -) Estrela
Portugal Primeira Liga 21-12-2025
Estrela - (HT -) Moreirense
Portugal Primeira Liga 02-03-2025
Moreirense 1-1 (HT 0-0) Estrela
Portugal Primeira Liga 28-09-2024
Estrela 2-1 (HT 2-0) Moreirense
Portugal Primeira Liga 07-04-2024
Moreirense 2-2 (HT 2-0) Estrela
Portugal Primeira Liga 11-11-2023
Estrela 0-1 (HT 0-0) Moreirense