Football Prediction: Tondela vs Casa Pia

Tondela vs Casa Pia

H2H, Stats & Predictions

Venue: Joocadoso Stadium

1.73
D L L L L L

SCHEDULED -

1.74

L L W L L W

Kick Off: 21-12-2025 16:00 h. Mathematical Predictions: Over 2.5 DRAW

Tondela and Casa Pia face each other in the Portugal Primeira Liga match on Sunday 21st of December 2025. In the last five head-to-head matches the home team scored average of 0.00 goals, while the away team scored average of 0.00 goals. See the full head-to-head statistics in the table below.

In the last 10 matches Tondela have scored an average of 1.33 goals and conceded average of 1.33 goals while Casa Pia scored 1.38 goals and conceded 1.56 goals.

Poisson distribution algorithm

We use Poisson distribution algorithm that expresses the probability of a given number of goals (2.5) occurring in football matches. The formula takes the expected average number of goals for home and away team, and calculates percentage probability of the prediction on the website.

Most probable outcome for Tondela vs Casa Pia is:

Over 2.5 goals with a probability of 67.34%

Head to Head Record - Tondela vs. Casa Pia

Date	Competition	Match
03-05-2026	Portugal Primeira Liga 2025	Casa Pia	- (HT -)	Tondela
21-12-2025	Portugal Primeira Liga 2025	Tondela	- (HT -)	Casa Pia

Competition		Date
Portugal Primeira Liga		03-05-2026
Casa Pia	- (HT -)	Tondela
Portugal Primeira Liga		21-12-2025
Tondela	- (HT -)	Casa Pia