Football Prediction: Estoril vs Alverca

Estoril vs Alverca

H2H, Stats & Predictions

Venue: Estadio Antonio Coimbra da Mota

0.80
W D L W L L

SCHEDULED -

0.93

D W W D W

Kick Off: 28-12-2025 16:00 h. Mathematical Predictions: Under 2.5 DRAW

Estoril and Alverca face each other in the Portugal Primeira Liga match on Sunday 28th of December 2025. In the last five head-to-head matches the home team scored average of 0.00 goals, while the away team scored average of 0.00 goals. See the full head-to-head statistics in the table below.

In the last 10 matches Estoril have scored an average of 1.39 goals and conceded average of 1.39 goals while Alverca scored 1.50 goals and conceded 1.00 goals.

Poisson distribution algorithm

We use Poisson distribution algorithm that expresses the probability of a given number of goals (2.5) occurring in football matches. The formula takes the expected average number of goals for home and away team, and calculates percentage probability of the prediction on the website.

Most probable outcome for Estoril vs Alverca is:

Under 2.5 goals with a probability of 75.13%

Head to Head Record - Estoril vs. Alverca

Date	Competition	Match
10-05-2026	Portugal Primeira Liga 2025	Alverca	- (HT -)	Estoril
28-12-2025	Portugal Primeira Liga 2025	Estoril	- (HT -)	Alverca

Competition		Date
Portugal Primeira Liga		10-05-2026
Alverca	- (HT -)	Estoril
Portugal Primeira Liga		28-12-2025
Estoril	- (HT -)	Alverca