Football Prediction: Moreirense vs Tondela

Moreirense vs Tondela

H2H, Stats & Predictions

Venue: Parque Joaquim de Almeida Freitas

1.47
W W W D L D

SCHEDULED -

1.56

L L L L D W

Kick Off: 28-12-2025 16:00 h. Mathematical Predictions: Under 2.5 Away WIN

Moreirense and Tondela face each other in the Portugal Primeira Liga match on Sunday 28th of December 2025. In the last five head-to-head matches the home team scored average of 0.00 goals, while the away team scored average of 0.00 goals. See the full head-to-head statistics in the table below.

In the last 10 matches Moreirense have scored an average of 1.28 goals and conceded average of 1.28 goals while Tondela scored 1.40 goals and conceded 2.00 goals.

Poisson distribution algorithm

We use Poisson distribution algorithm that expresses the probability of a given number of goals (2.5) occurring in football matches. The formula takes the expected average number of goals for home and away team, and calculates percentage probability of the prediction on the website.

Most probable outcome for Moreirense vs Tondela is:

Under 2.5 goals with a probability of 63.98%

Head to Head Record - Moreirense vs. Tondela

Date	Competition	Match
10-05-2026	Portugal Primeira Liga 2025	Tondela	- (HT -)	Moreirense
28-12-2025	Portugal Primeira Liga 2025	Moreirense	- (HT -)	Tondela

Competition		Date
Portugal Primeira Liga		10-05-2026
Tondela	- (HT -)	Moreirense
Portugal Primeira Liga		28-12-2025
Moreirense	- (HT -)	Tondela