Football Prediction: Nacional vs Santa Clara

Nacional vs Santa Clara

H2H, Stats & Predictions

Venue: Estadio da Madeira

1.97
D L L D L D

SCHEDULED -

1.19

L D L W W L

Kick Off: 28-12-2025 16:00 h. Mathematical Predictions: Under 2.5 Home WIN

Nacional and Santa Clara face each other in the Portugal Primeira Liga match on Sunday 28th of December 2025. In the last five head-to-head matches the home team scored average of 2.00 goals, while the away team scored average of 0.00 goals. See the full head-to-head statistics in the table below.

In the last 10 matches Nacional have scored an average of 1.45 goals and conceded average of 1.45 goals while Santa Clara scored 1.12 goals and conceded 0.96 goals.

Poisson distribution algorithm

We use Poisson distribution algorithm that expresses the probability of a given number of goals (2.5) occurring in football matches. The formula takes the expected average number of goals for home and away team, and calculates percentage probability of the prediction on the website.

Most probable outcome for Nacional vs Santa Clara is:

Under 2.5 goals with a probability of 61.17%

Head to Head Record - Nacional vs. Santa Clara

Date	Competition	Match
10-05-2026	Portugal Primeira Liga 2025	Santa Clara	- (HT -)	Nacional
28-12-2025	Portugal Primeira Liga 2025	Nacional	- (HT -)	Santa Clara
30-03-2025	Portugal Primeira Liga 2024	Santa Clara	1-0 (HT 1-0)	Nacional
04-11-2024	Portugal Primeira Liga 2024	Nacional	2-0 (HT 2-0)	Santa Clara
11-01-2024	Portugal Taça de Portugal 2023	Santa Clara	0-0 (HT 0-0)	Nacional

Competition		Date
Portugal Primeira Liga		10-05-2026
Santa Clara	- (HT -)	Nacional
Portugal Primeira Liga		28-12-2025
Nacional	- (HT -)	Santa Clara
Portugal Primeira Liga		30-03-2025
Santa Clara	1-0 (HT 1-0)	Nacional
Portugal Primeira Liga		04-11-2024
Nacional	2-0 (HT 2-0)	Santa Clara
Portugal Taça de Portugal		11-01-2024
Santa Clara	0-0 (HT 0-0)	Nacional