Football Prediction: Benfica vs Estoril

Benfica vs Estoril

H2H, Stats & Predictions

Venue: Estádio do Sport Lisboa e Benfica

2.35
W W W D W W

SCHEDULED -

0.97

L D L D W D

Kick Off: 04-01-2026 16:00 h. Mathematical Predictions: Over 2.5 Home WIN

Benfica and Estoril face each other in the Portugal Primeira Liga match on Sunday 4th of January 2026. In the last five head-to-head matches the home team scored average of 3.00 goals, while the away team scored average of 0.50 goals. See the full head-to-head statistics in the table below.

In the last 10 matches Benfica have scored an average of 2.08 goals and conceded average of 2.08 goals while Estoril scored 1.53 goals and conceded 1.97 goals.

Poisson distribution algorithm

We use Poisson distribution algorithm that expresses the probability of a given number of goals (2.5) occurring in football matches. The formula takes the expected average number of goals for home and away team, and calculates percentage probability of the prediction on the website.

Most probable outcome for Benfica vs Estoril is:

Over 2.5 goals with a probability of 64.48%

Head to Head Record - Benfica vs. Estoril

Date	Competition	Match
17-05-2026	Portugal Primeira Liga 2025	Estoril	- (HT -)	Benfica
04-01-2026	Portugal Primeira Liga 2025	Benfica	- (HT -)	Estoril
03-05-2025	Portugal Primeira Liga 2024	Estoril	1-2 (HT 0-2)	Benfica
23-12-2024	Portugal Primeira Liga 2024	Benfica	3-0 (HT 1-0)	Estoril
10-03-2024	Portugal Primeira Liga 2023	Benfica	3-1 (HT 2-1)	Estoril
07-10-2023	Portugal Primeira Liga 2023	Estoril	0-1 (HT 0-0)	Benfica

Competition		Date
Portugal Primeira Liga		17-05-2026
Estoril	- (HT -)	Benfica
Portugal Primeira Liga		04-01-2026
Benfica	- (HT -)	Estoril
Portugal Primeira Liga		03-05-2025
Estoril	1-2 (HT 0-2)	Benfica
Portugal Primeira Liga		23-12-2024
Benfica	3-0 (HT 1-0)	Estoril
Portugal Primeira Liga		10-03-2024
Benfica	3-1 (HT 2-1)	Estoril
Portugal Primeira Liga		07-10-2023
Estoril	0-1 (HT 0-0)	Benfica