Football Prediction: Tondela vs Arouca

Tondela vs Arouca

H2H, Stats & Predictions

Venue: Joocadoso Stadium

0.44
D L L L L L

SCHEDULED -

0.48

D D L W W D

Kick Off: 04-01-2026 16:00 h. Mathematical Predictions: Under 2.5 DRAW

Tondela and Arouca face each other in the Portugal Primeira Liga match on Sunday 4th of January 2026. In the last five head-to-head matches the home team scored average of 0.00 goals, while the away team scored average of 0.00 goals. See the full head-to-head statistics in the table below.

In the last 10 matches Tondela have scored an average of 1.33 goals and conceded average of 1.33 goals while Arouca scored 1.43 goals and conceded 1.65 goals.

Poisson distribution algorithm

We use Poisson distribution algorithm that expresses the probability of a given number of goals (2.5) occurring in football matches. The formula takes the expected average number of goals for home and away team, and calculates percentage probability of the prediction on the website.

Most probable outcome for Tondela vs Arouca is:

Under 2.5 goals with a probability of 100.00%

Head to Head Record - Tondela vs. Arouca

Date	Competition	Match
17-05-2026	Portugal Primeira Liga 2025	Arouca	- (HT -)	Tondela
04-01-2026	Portugal Primeira Liga 2025	Tondela	- (HT -)	Arouca

Competition		Date
Portugal Primeira Liga		17-05-2026
Arouca	- (HT -)	Tondela
Portugal Primeira Liga		04-01-2026
Tondela	- (HT -)	Arouca