Football Prediction: Alverca vs Moreirense

Alverca vs Moreirense

H2H, Stats & Predictions

Venue:

1.71
L D L L D W

SCHEDULED -

0.81

L W W W W D

Kick Off: 18-01-2026 16:00 h. Mathematical Predictions: Under 2.5 Home WIN

Alverca and Moreirense face each other in the Portugal Primeira Liga match on Sunday 18th of January 2026. In the last five head-to-head matches the home team scored average of 0.00 goals, while the away team scored average of 0.00 goals. See the full head-to-head statistics in the table below.

In the last 10 matches Alverca have scored an average of 3.80 goals and conceded average of 3.80 goals while Moreirense scored 1.03 goals and conceded 1.33 goals.

Poisson distribution algorithm

We use Poisson distribution algorithm that expresses the probability of a given number of goals (2.5) occurring in football matches. The formula takes the expected average number of goals for home and away team, and calculates percentage probability of the prediction on the website.

Most probable outcome for Alverca vs Moreirense is:

Under 2.5 goals with a probability of 53.88%

Head to Head Record - Alverca vs. Moreirense

Date	Competition	Match
18-01-2026	Portugal Primeira Liga 2025	Alverca	- (HT -)	Moreirense
10-08-2025	Portugal Primeira Liga 2025	Moreirense	2-1 (HT 1-1)	Alverca

Competition		Date
Portugal Primeira Liga		18-01-2026
Alverca	- (HT -)	Moreirense
Portugal Primeira Liga		10-08-2025
Moreirense	2-1 (HT 1-1)	Alverca