Estrela vs Estoril

H2H, Stats & Predictions

Venue: Estadio Jose Gomes

1.39
W D L D D L

SCHEDULED -

1.72

L L W L D L

Kick Off: 18-01-2026 18:00 h. Mathematical Predictions: Over 2.5 and Away WIN

Estrela and Estoril face each other in the Portugal Primeira Liga match on Sunday 18th of January 2026. The two teams have met 5 times in head-to-head matches. The home team scored average of 1.00 goals, while the away team scored average of 2.20 goals. See the full head-to-head statistics in the table below.

In the last 10 matches Estrela have scored an average of 1.18 goals and conceded average of 1.18 goals while Estoril scored 1.49 goals and conceded 1.97 goals.

Poisson distribution algorithm

We use Poisson distribution algorithm that expresses the probability of a given number of goals (2.5) occurring in football matches. The formula takes the expected average number of goals for home and away team, and calculates percentage probability of the prediction on the website.

Most probable outcome for Estrela vs Estoril is:

Over 2.5 goals with a probability of 60.02%

Head to Head Record - Estrela vs. Estoril

Date	Competition	Match
18-01-2026	Portugal Primeira Liga 2025	Estrela	- (HT -)	Estoril
11-08-2025	Portugal Primeira Liga 2025	Estoril	1-1 (HT 1-0)	Estrela
17-05-2025	Portugal Primeira Liga 2024	Estoril	4-0 (HT 4-0)	Estrela
05-01-2025	Portugal Primeira Liga 2024	Estrela	2-4 (HT 0-3)	Estoril
04-02-2024	Portugal Primeira Liga 2023	Estoril	1-0 (HT 0-0)	Estrela
25-08-2023	Portugal Primeira Liga 2023	Estrela	2-1 (HT 0-0)	Estoril

Competition		Date
Portugal Primeira Liga		18-01-2026
Estrela	- (HT -)	Estoril
Portugal Primeira Liga		11-08-2025
Estoril	1-1 (HT 1-0)	Estrela
Portugal Primeira Liga		17-05-2025
Estoril	4-0 (HT 4-0)	Estrela
Portugal Primeira Liga		05-01-2025
Estrela	2-4 (HT 0-3)	Estoril
Portugal Primeira Liga		04-02-2024
Estoril	1-0 (HT 0-0)	Estrela
Portugal Primeira Liga		25-08-2023
Estrela	2-1 (HT 0-0)	Estoril

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