Football Prediction: Rio Ave vs Benfica

Rio Ave vs Benfica

H2H, Stats & Predictions

Venue: Estadio dos Arcos

1.91
D D D W L L

SCHEDULED -

2.07

W W W W D W

Kick Off: 18-01-2026 16:00 h. Mathematical Predictions: Over 2.5 DRAW

Rio Ave and Benfica face each other in the Portugal Primeira Liga match on Sunday 18th of January 2026. In the last five head-to-head matches the home team scored average of 1.50 goals, while the away team scored average of 2.00 goals. See the full head-to-head statistics in the table below.

In the last 10 matches Rio Ave have scored an average of 1.51 goals and conceded average of 1.51 goals while Benfica scored 1.51 goals and conceded 1.38 goals.

Poisson distribution algorithm

We use Poisson distribution algorithm that expresses the probability of a given number of goals (2.5) occurring in football matches. The formula takes the expected average number of goals for home and away team, and calculates percentage probability of the prediction on the website.

Most probable outcome for Rio Ave vs Benfica is:

Over 2.5 goals with a probability of 56.08%

Head to Head Record - Rio Ave vs. Benfica

Date	Competition	Match
18-01-2026	Portugal Primeira Liga 2025	Rio Ave	- (HT -)	Benfica
23-09-2025	Portugal Primeira Liga 2025	Benfica	- (HT -)	Rio Ave
16-03-2025	Portugal Primeira Liga 2024	Rio Ave	2-3 (HT 0-1)	Benfica
27-10-2024	Portugal Primeira Liga 2024	Benfica	5-0 (HT 3-0)	Rio Ave
17-05-2024	Portugal Primeira Liga 2023	Rio Ave	1-1 (HT 0-1)	Benfica
14-01-2024	Portugal Primeira Liga 2023	Benfica	4-1 (HT 1-1)	Rio Ave

Competition		Date
Portugal Primeira Liga		18-01-2026
Rio Ave	- (HT -)	Benfica
Portugal Primeira Liga		23-09-2025
Benfica	- (HT -)	Rio Ave
Portugal Primeira Liga		16-03-2025
Rio Ave	2-3 (HT 0-1)	Benfica
Portugal Primeira Liga		27-10-2024
Benfica	5-0 (HT 3-0)	Rio Ave
Portugal Primeira Liga		17-05-2024
Rio Ave	1-1 (HT 0-1)	Benfica
Portugal Primeira Liga		14-01-2024
Benfica	4-1 (HT 1-1)	Rio Ave