Football Prediction: Arouca vs Sporting CP

Arouca vs Sporting CP

H2H, Stats & Predictions

Venue: Aluca Municipal Stadium

0.83
D D L W W D

SCHEDULED -

2.13

L W W W L D

Kick Off: 25-01-2026 16:00 h. Mathematical Predictions: Over 2.5 Away WIN

Arouca and Sporting CP face each other in the Portugal Primeira Liga match on Sunday 25th of January 2026. In the last five head-to-head matches the home team scored average of 0.00 goals, while the away team scored average of 3.00 goals. See the full head-to-head statistics in the table below.

In the last 10 matches Arouca have scored an average of 1.33 goals and conceded average of 1.33 goals while Sporting CP scored 2.03 goals and conceded 1.16 goals.

Poisson distribution algorithm

We use Poisson distribution algorithm that expresses the probability of a given number of goals (2.5) occurring in football matches. The formula takes the expected average number of goals for home and away team, and calculates percentage probability of the prediction on the website.

Most probable outcome for Arouca vs Sporting CP is:

Over 2.5 goals with a probability of 56.78%

Head to Head Record - Arouca vs. Sporting CP

Date	Competition	Match
25-01-2026	Portugal Primeira Liga 2025	Arouca	- (HT -)	Sporting CP
17-08-2025	Portugal Primeira Liga 2025	Sporting CP	6-0 (HT 3-0)	Arouca
15-02-2025	Portugal Primeira Liga 2024	Sporting CP	2-2 (HT 1-2)	Arouca
13-09-2024	Portugal Primeira Liga 2024	Arouca	0-3 (HT 0-1)	Sporting CP
10-03-2024	Portugal Primeira Liga 2023	Arouca	0-3 (HT 0-1)	Sporting CP
08-10-2023	Portugal Primeira Liga 2023	Sporting CP	2-1 (HT 1-0)	Arouca

Competition		Date
Portugal Primeira Liga		25-01-2026
Arouca	- (HT -)	Sporting CP
Portugal Primeira Liga		17-08-2025
Sporting CP	6-0 (HT 3-0)	Arouca
Portugal Primeira Liga		15-02-2025
Sporting CP	2-2 (HT 1-2)	Arouca
Portugal Primeira Liga		13-09-2024
Arouca	0-3 (HT 0-1)	Sporting CP
Portugal Primeira Liga		10-03-2024
Arouca	0-3 (HT 0-1)	Sporting CP
Portugal Primeira Liga		08-10-2023
Sporting CP	2-1 (HT 1-0)	Arouca