Benfica vs Estrela

H2H, Stats & Predictions

Venue: Estádio do Sport Lisboa e Benfica

2.19
W D W L D W

SCHEDULED -

0.64

W D L D D L

Kick Off: 25-01-2026 18:00 h. Mathematical Predictions: Over 2.5 and Home WIN

Benfica and Estrela face each other in the Portugal Primeira Liga match on Sunday 25th of January 2026. The two teams have met 6 times in head-to-head matches. The home team scored average of 3.00 goals, while the away team scored average of 0.50 goals. See the full head-to-head statistics in the table below.

In the last 10 matches Benfica have scored an average of 2.06 goals and conceded average of 2.06 goals while Estrela scored 0.51 goals and conceded 1.51 goals.

Poisson distribution algorithm

We use Poisson distribution algorithm that expresses the probability of a given number of goals (2.5) occurring in football matches. The formula takes the expected average number of goals for home and away team, and calculates percentage probability of the prediction on the website.

Most probable outcome for Benfica vs Estrela is:

Over 2.5 goals with a probability of 53.76%

Head to Head Record - Benfica vs. Estrela

Date	Competition	Match
25-01-2026	Portugal Primeira Liga 2025	Benfica	- (HT -)	Estrela
16-08-2025	Portugal Primeira Liga 2025	Estrela	0-1 (HT 0-0)	Benfica
02-02-2025	Portugal Primeira Liga 2024	Estrela	2-3 (HT 1-3)	Benfica
23-11-2024	Portugal Taça de Portugal 2024	Benfica	7-0 (HT 3-0)	Estrela
24-08-2024	Portugal Primeira Liga 2024	Benfica	1-0 (HT 1-0)	Estrela
29-01-2024	Portugal Primeira Liga 2023	Estrela	1-4 (HT 1-2)	Benfica
19-08-2023	Portugal Primeira Liga 2023	Benfica	2-0 (HT 0-0)	Estrela

Competition		Date
Portugal Primeira Liga		25-01-2026
Benfica	- (HT -)	Estrela
Portugal Primeira Liga		16-08-2025
Estrela	0-1 (HT 0-0)	Benfica
Portugal Primeira Liga		02-02-2025
Estrela	2-3 (HT 1-3)	Benfica
Portugal Taça de Portugal		23-11-2024
Benfica	7-0 (HT 3-0)	Estrela
Portugal Primeira Liga		24-08-2024
Benfica	1-0 (HT 1-0)	Estrela
Portugal Primeira Liga		29-01-2024
Estrela	1-4 (HT 1-2)	Benfica
Portugal Primeira Liga		19-08-2023
Benfica	2-0 (HT 0-0)	Estrela

close ads X