Rio Ave vs Arouca

H2H, Stats & Predictions

Venue: Estadio dos Arcos

1.57
D D L L D D

SCHEDULED -

1.42

W L D D L W

Kick Off: 01-02-2026 18:00 h. Mathematical Predictions: Over 2.5 and Home WIN

Rio Ave and Arouca face each other in the Portugal Primeira Liga match on Sunday 1st of February 2026. The two teams have met 5 times in head-to-head matches. The home team scored average of 1.60 goals, while the away team scored average of 1.40 goals. See the full head-to-head statistics in the table below.

In the last 10 matches Rio Ave have scored an average of 1.49 goals and conceded average of 1.49 goals while Arouca scored 1.44 goals and conceded 1.63 goals.

Poisson distribution algorithm

We use Poisson distribution algorithm that expresses the probability of a given number of goals (2.5) occurring in football matches. The formula takes the expected average number of goals for home and away team, and calculates percentage probability of the prediction on the website.

Most probable outcome for Rio Ave vs Arouca is:

Over 2.5 goals with a probability of 57.50%

Head to Head Record - Rio Ave vs. Arouca

Date	Competition	Match
01-02-2026	Portugal Primeira Liga 2025	Rio Ave	- (HT -)	Arouca
23-08-2025	Portugal Primeira Liga 2025	Arouca	3-3 (HT 1-0)	Rio Ave
10-02-2025	Portugal Primeira Liga 2024	Arouca	1-1 (HT 0-0)	Rio Ave
01-09-2024	Portugal Primeira Liga 2024	Rio Ave	1-0 (HT 1-0)	Arouca
19-04-2024	Portugal Primeira Liga 2023	Rio Ave	1-1 (HT 1-0)	Arouca
10-12-2023	Portugal Primeira Liga 2023	Arouca	2-2 (HT 0-2)	Rio Ave

Competition		Date
Portugal Primeira Liga		01-02-2026
Rio Ave	- (HT -)	Arouca
Portugal Primeira Liga		23-08-2025
Arouca	3-3 (HT 1-0)	Rio Ave
Portugal Primeira Liga		10-02-2025
Arouca	1-1 (HT 0-0)	Rio Ave
Portugal Primeira Liga		01-09-2024
Rio Ave	1-0 (HT 1-0)	Arouca
Portugal Primeira Liga		19-04-2024
Rio Ave	1-1 (HT 1-0)	Arouca
Portugal Primeira Liga		10-12-2023
Arouca	2-2 (HT 0-2)	Rio Ave

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