Sporting CP vs Nacional

H2H, Stats & Predictions

Venue: Estadio Jose Alvalade XXI

2.52
W W W W L W

SCHEDULED -

0.79

W L L W L D

Kick Off: 01-02-2026 18:00 h. Mathematical Predictions: Over 2.5 and Home WIN

Sporting CP and Nacional face each other in the Portugal Primeira Liga match on Sunday 1st of February 2026. The two teams have met 3 times in head-to-head matches. The home team scored average of 4.00 goals, while the away team scored average of 0.67 goals. See the full head-to-head statistics in the table below.

In the last 10 matches Sporting CP have scored an average of 2.36 goals and conceded average of 2.36 goals while Nacional scored 0.75 goals and conceded 1.21 goals.

Poisson distribution algorithm

We use Poisson distribution algorithm that expresses the probability of a given number of goals (2.5) occurring in football matches. The formula takes the expected average number of goals for home and away team, and calculates percentage probability of the prediction on the website.

Most probable outcome for Sporting CP vs Nacional is:

Over 2.5 goals with a probability of 64.41%

Head to Head Record - Sporting CP vs. Nacional

Date	Competition	Match
01-02-2026	Portugal Primeira Liga 2025	Sporting CP	- (HT -)	Nacional
23-08-2025	Portugal Primeira Liga 2025	Nacional	1-4 (HT 1-0)	Sporting CP
25-01-2025	Portugal Primeira Liga 2024	Sporting CP	2-0 (HT 1-0)	Nacional
17-08-2024	Portugal Primeira Liga 2024	Nacional	1-6 (HT 1-2)	Sporting CP

Competition		Date
Portugal Primeira Liga		01-02-2026
Sporting CP	- (HT -)	Nacional
Portugal Primeira Liga		23-08-2025
Nacional	1-4 (HT 1-0)	Sporting CP
Portugal Primeira Liga		25-01-2025
Sporting CP	2-0 (HT 1-0)	Nacional
Portugal Primeira Liga		17-08-2024
Nacional	1-6 (HT 1-2)	Sporting CP

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