Football Prediction: Tondela vs Benfica

Tondela vs Benfica

H2H, Stats & Predictions

Venue: Joocadoso Stadium

0.90
D L L L L L

SCHEDULED -

0.94

W W W D W W

Kick Off: 01-02-2026 16:00 h. Mathematical Predictions: Under 2.5 DRAW

Tondela and Benfica face each other in the Portugal Primeira Liga match on Sunday 1st of February 2026. In the last five head-to-head matches the home team scored average of 0.00 goals, while the away team scored average of 0.00 goals. See the full head-to-head statistics in the table below.

In the last 10 matches Tondela have scored an average of 1.33 goals and conceded average of 1.33 goals while Benfica scored 1.50 goals and conceded 1.36 goals.

Poisson distribution algorithm

We use Poisson distribution algorithm that expresses the probability of a given number of goals (2.5) occurring in football matches. The formula takes the expected average number of goals for home and away team, and calculates percentage probability of the prediction on the website.

Most probable outcome for Tondela vs Benfica is:

Under 2.5 goals with a probability of 71.90%

Head to Head Record - Tondela vs. Benfica

Date	Competition	Match
01-02-2026	Portugal Primeira Liga 2025	Tondela	- (HT -)	Benfica
23-08-2025	Portugal Primeira Liga 2025	Benfica	3-0 (HT 2-0)	Tondela

Competition		Date
Portugal Primeira Liga		01-02-2026
Tondela	- (HT -)	Benfica
Portugal Primeira Liga		23-08-2025
Benfica	3-0 (HT 2-0)	Tondela