Football Prediction: Arouca vs Guimaraes

Arouca vs Guimaraes

H2H, Stats & Predictions

Venue: Aluca Municipal Stadium

1.18
D D L W W D

SCHEDULED -

1.52

D L W L L L

Kick Off: 08-02-2026 16:00 h. Mathematical Predictions: Over 2.5 Away WIN

Arouca and Guimaraes face each other in the Portugal Primeira Liga match on Sunday 8th of February 2026. In the last five head-to-head matches the home team scored average of 1.80 goals, while the away team scored average of 1.00 goals. See the full head-to-head statistics in the table below.

In the last 10 matches Arouca have scored an average of 1.33 goals and conceded average of 1.33 goals while Guimaraes scored 1.39 goals and conceded 1.21 goals.

Poisson distribution algorithm

We use Poisson distribution algorithm that expresses the probability of a given number of goals (2.5) occurring in football matches. The formula takes the expected average number of goals for home and away team, and calculates percentage probability of the prediction on the website.

Most probable outcome for Arouca vs Guimaraes is:

Over 2.5 goals with a probability of 50.63%

Head to Head Record - Arouca vs. Guimaraes

Date	Competition	Match
08-02-2026	Portugal Primeira Liga 2025	Arouca	- (HT -)	Guimaraes
30-08-2025	Portugal Primeira Liga 2025	Guimaraes	1-1 (HT 1-1)	Arouca
18-01-2025	Portugal Primeira Liga 2024	Guimaraes	2-2 (HT 2-0)	Arouca
12-08-2024	Portugal Primeira Liga 2024	Arouca	0-1 (HT 0-1)	Guimaraes
18-05-2024	Portugal Primeira Liga 2023	Arouca	1-3 (HT 1-0)	Guimaraes
15-01-2024	Portugal Primeira Liga 2023	Guimaraes	2-1 (HT 1-1)	Arouca

Competition		Date
Portugal Primeira Liga		08-02-2026
Arouca	- (HT -)	Guimaraes
Portugal Primeira Liga		30-08-2025
Guimaraes	1-1 (HT 1-1)	Arouca
Portugal Primeira Liga		18-01-2025
Guimaraes	2-2 (HT 2-0)	Arouca
Portugal Primeira Liga		12-08-2024
Arouca	0-1 (HT 0-1)	Guimaraes
Portugal Primeira Liga		18-05-2024
Arouca	1-3 (HT 1-0)	Guimaraes
Portugal Primeira Liga		15-01-2024
Guimaraes	2-1 (HT 1-1)	Arouca