Monday 8th of September 2025*All matches in UTC time.

Casa Pia vs Arouca

H2H, Stats & Predictions

Venue: Estadio Pina Manique

This is Logo of Home Team: Casa Pia 1.53
L L W L L W
SCHEDULED -
1.03 This is Logo of Away Team: Arouca
D D L W W D
Kick Off: 15-02-2026 16:00 h. Mathematical Predictions: Under 2.5 Home WIN
Casa Pia and Arouca face each other in the Portugal Primeira Liga match on Sunday 15th of February 2026. In the last five head-to-head matches the home team scored average of 2.00 goals, while the away team scored average of 0.50 goals. See the full head-to-head statistics in the table below.

In the last 10 matches Casa Pia have scored an average of 0.95 goals and conceded average of 0.95 goals while Arouca scored 1.43 goals and conceded 1.65 goals.

Poisson distribution algorithm

We use Poisson distribution algorithm that expresses the probability of a given number of goals (2.5) occurring in football matches. The formula takes the expected average number of goals for home and away team, and calculates percentage probability of the prediction on the website.

Most probable outcome for Casa Pia vs Arouca is:

Under 2.5 goals with a probability of 52.85%

Head to Head Record - Casa Pia vs. Arouca

Date Competition Match
15-02-2026 Portugal Primeira Liga 2025 Casa Pia - (HT -) Arouca
14-09-2025 Portugal Primeira Liga 2025 Arouca - (HT -) Casa Pia
04-05-2025 Portugal Primeira Liga 2024 Arouca 0-0 (HT 0-0) Casa Pia
20-12-2024 Portugal Primeira Liga 2024 Casa Pia 3-1 (HT 2-0) Arouca
18-02-2024 Portugal Primeira Liga 2023 Casa Pia 1-0 (HT 0-0) Arouca
17-09-2023 Portugal Primeira Liga 2023 Arouca 0-1 (HT 0-0) Casa Pia
Competition Date
Portugal Primeira Liga 15-02-2026
Casa Pia - (HT -) Arouca
Portugal Primeira Liga 14-09-2025
Arouca - (HT -) Casa Pia
Portugal Primeira Liga 04-05-2025
Arouca 0-0 (HT 0-0) Casa Pia
Portugal Primeira Liga 20-12-2024
Casa Pia 3-1 (HT 2-0) Arouca
Portugal Primeira Liga 18-02-2024
Casa Pia 1-0 (HT 0-0) Arouca
Portugal Primeira Liga 17-09-2023
Arouca 0-1 (HT 0-0) Casa Pia