Football Prediction: Nacional vs FC Porto

Nacional vs FC Porto

H2H, Stats & Predictions

Venue: Estadio da Madeira

1.55
L D L D L W

SCHEDULED -

0.97

D L D W W W

Kick Off: 15-02-2026 16:00 h. Mathematical Predictions: Under 2.5 Home WIN

Nacional and FC Porto face each other in the Portugal Primeira Liga match on Sunday 15th of February 2026. In the last five head-to-head matches the home team scored average of 2.00 goals, while the away team scored average of 0.00 goals. See the full head-to-head statistics in the table below.

In the last 10 matches Nacional have scored an average of 1.53 goals and conceded average of 1.53 goals while FC Porto scored 1.43 goals and conceded 1.13 goals.

Poisson distribution algorithm

We use Poisson distribution algorithm that expresses the probability of a given number of goals (2.5) occurring in football matches. The formula takes the expected average number of goals for home and away team, and calculates percentage probability of the prediction on the website.

Most probable outcome for Nacional vs FC Porto is:

Under 2.5 goals with a probability of 53.82%

Head to Head Record - Nacional vs. FC Porto

Date	Competition	Match
15-02-2026	Portugal Primeira Liga 2025	Nacional	- (HT -)	FC Porto
14-09-2025	Portugal Primeira Liga 2025	FC Porto	- (HT -)	Nacional
17-05-2025	Portugal Primeira Liga 2024	FC Porto	3-0 (HT 1-0)	Nacional
12-01-2025	Portugal Primeira Liga 2024	Nacional	2-0 (HT 2-0)	FC Porto

Competition		Date
Portugal Primeira Liga		15-02-2026
Nacional	- (HT -)	FC Porto
Portugal Primeira Liga		14-09-2025
FC Porto	- (HT -)	Nacional
Portugal Primeira Liga		17-05-2025
FC Porto	3-0 (HT 1-0)	Nacional
Portugal Primeira Liga		12-01-2025
Nacional	2-0 (HT 2-0)	FC Porto