Monday 8th of September 2025*All matches in UTC time.

Nacional vs FC Porto

H2H, Stats & Predictions

Venue: Estadio da Madeira

This is Logo of Home Team: Nacional 1.90
W L D L L D
SCHEDULED -
1.72 This is Logo of Away Team: FC Porto
W W W W D L
Kick Off: 15-02-2026 16:00 h. Mathematical Predictions: Over 2.5 DRAW
Nacional and FC Porto face each other in the Portugal Primeira Liga match on Sunday 15th of February 2026. In the last five head-to-head matches the home team scored average of 2.00 goals, while the away team scored average of 0.00 goals. See the full head-to-head statistics in the table below.

In the last 10 matches Nacional have scored an average of 1.43 goals and conceded average of 1.43 goals while FC Porto scored 1.45 goals and conceded 1.12 goals.

Poisson distribution algorithm

We use Poisson distribution algorithm that expresses the probability of a given number of goals (2.5) occurring in football matches. The formula takes the expected average number of goals for home and away team, and calculates percentage probability of the prediction on the website.

Most probable outcome for Nacional vs FC Porto is:

Over 2.5 goals with a probability of 70.04%

Head to Head Record - Nacional vs. FC Porto

Date Competition Match
15-02-2026 Portugal Primeira Liga 2025 Nacional - (HT -) FC Porto
13-09-2025 Portugal Primeira Liga 2025 FC Porto - (HT -) Nacional
17-05-2025 Portugal Primeira Liga 2024 FC Porto 3-0 (HT 1-0) Nacional
12-01-2025 Portugal Primeira Liga 2024 Nacional 2-0 (HT 2-0) FC Porto
Competition Date
Portugal Primeira Liga 15-02-2026
Nacional - (HT -) FC Porto
Portugal Primeira Liga 13-09-2025
FC Porto - (HT -) Nacional
Portugal Primeira Liga 17-05-2025
FC Porto 3-0 (HT 1-0) Nacional
Portugal Primeira Liga 12-01-2025
Nacional 2-0 (HT 2-0) FC Porto