Monday 8th of September 2025*All matches in UTC time.

Guimaraes vs Estrela

H2H, Stats & Predictions

Venue: Estadio D. Afonso Henriques

This is Logo of Home Team: Guimaraes 1.97
D L W L L L
SCHEDULED -
0.49 This is Logo of Away Team: Estrela
D D L D L L
Kick Off: 15-02-2026 16:00 h. Mathematical Predictions: Under 2.5 Home WIN
Guimaraes and Estrela face each other in the Portugal Primeira Liga match on Sunday 15th of February 2026. In the last five head-to-head matches the home team scored average of 2.50 goals, while the away team scored average of 0.00 goals. See the full head-to-head statistics in the table below.

In the last 10 matches Guimaraes have scored an average of 1.86 goals and conceded average of 1.86 goals while Estrela scored 0.53 goals and conceded 1.55 goals.

Poisson distribution algorithm

We use Poisson distribution algorithm that expresses the probability of a given number of goals (2.5) occurring in football matches. The formula takes the expected average number of goals for home and away team, and calculates percentage probability of the prediction on the website.

Most probable outcome for Guimaraes vs Estrela is:

Under 2.5 goals with a probability of 55.39%

Head to Head Record - Guimaraes vs. Estrela

Date Competition Match
15-02-2026 Portugal Primeira Liga 2025 Guimaraes - (HT -) Estrela
14-09-2025 Portugal Primeira Liga 2025 Estrela - (HT -) Guimaraes
16-03-2025 Portugal Primeira Liga 2024 Guimaraes 2-0 (HT 1-0) Estrela
27-10-2024 Portugal Primeira Liga 2024 Estrela 2-2 (HT 1-1) Guimaraes
21-01-2024 Portugal Primeira Liga 2023 Guimaraes 3-0 (HT 1-0) Estrela
13-08-2023 Portugal Primeira Liga 2023 Estrela 0-1 (HT 0-1) Guimaraes
Competition Date
Portugal Primeira Liga 15-02-2026
Guimaraes - (HT -) Estrela
Portugal Primeira Liga 14-09-2025
Estrela - (HT -) Guimaraes
Portugal Primeira Liga 16-03-2025
Guimaraes 2-0 (HT 1-0) Estrela
Portugal Primeira Liga 27-10-2024
Estrela 2-2 (HT 1-1) Guimaraes
Portugal Primeira Liga 21-01-2024
Guimaraes 3-0 (HT 1-0) Estrela
Portugal Primeira Liga 13-08-2023
Estrela 0-1 (HT 0-1) Guimaraes