Football Prediction: Estrela vs Tondela

Estrela vs Tondela

H2H, Stats & Predictions

Venue: Estadio Jose Gomes

1.11
D D L D L L

SCHEDULED -

0.89

D L L L L L

Kick Off: 22-02-2026 16:00 h. Mathematical Predictions: Under 2.5 DRAW

Estrela and Tondela face each other in the Portugal Primeira Liga match on Sunday 22nd of February 2026. In the last five head-to-head matches the home team scored average of 0.00 goals, while the away team scored average of 0.00 goals. See the full head-to-head statistics in the table below.

In the last 10 matches Estrela have scored an average of 1.17 goals and conceded average of 1.17 goals while Tondela scored 1.17 goals and conceded 2.17 goals.

Poisson distribution algorithm

We use Poisson distribution algorithm that expresses the probability of a given number of goals (2.5) occurring in football matches. The formula takes the expected average number of goals for home and away team, and calculates percentage probability of the prediction on the website.

Most probable outcome for Estrela vs Tondela is:

Under 2.5 goals with a probability of 67.67%

Head to Head Record - Estrela vs. Tondela

Date	Competition	Match
22-02-2026	Portugal Primeira Liga 2025	Estrela	- (HT -)	Tondela
21-09-2025	Portugal Primeira Liga 2025	Tondela	- (HT -)	Estrela

Competition		Date
Portugal Primeira Liga		22-02-2026
Estrela	- (HT -)	Tondela
Portugal Primeira Liga		21-09-2025
Tondela	- (HT -)	Estrela