Football Prediction: FC Porto vs Rio Ave

FC Porto vs Rio Ave

H2H, Stats & Predictions

Venue: Dragon Stadium

1.49
D L D W W W

SCHEDULED -

0.64

D D W L L D

Kick Off: 22-02-2026 16:00 h. Mathematical Predictions: Under 2.5 DRAW

FC Porto and Rio Ave face each other in the Portugal Primeira Liga match on Sunday 22nd of February 2026. In the last five head-to-head matches the home team scored average of 1.00 goals, while the away team scored average of 0.00 goals. See the full head-to-head statistics in the table below.

In the last 10 matches FC Porto have scored an average of 1.96 goals and conceded average of 1.96 goals while Rio Ave scored 0.88 goals and conceded 1.52 goals.

Poisson distribution algorithm

We use Poisson distribution algorithm that expresses the probability of a given number of goals (2.5) occurring in football matches. The formula takes the expected average number of goals for home and away team, and calculates percentage probability of the prediction on the website.

Most probable outcome for FC Porto vs Rio Ave is:

Under 2.5 goals with a probability of 64.12%

Head to Head Record - FC Porto vs. Rio Ave

Date	Competition	Match
22-02-2026	Portugal Primeira Liga 2025	FC Porto	- (HT -)	Rio Ave
21-09-2025	Portugal Primeira Liga 2025	Rio Ave	- (HT -)	FC Porto
03-02-2025	Portugal Primeira Liga 2024	Rio Ave	2-2 (HT 1-0)	FC Porto
24-08-2024	Portugal Primeira Liga 2024	FC Porto	2-0 (HT 2-0)	Rio Ave
03-02-2024	Portugal Primeira Liga 2023	FC Porto	0-0 (HT 0-0)	Rio Ave
28-08-2023	Portugal Primeira Liga 2023	Rio Ave	1-2 (HT 0-0)	FC Porto

Competition		Date
Portugal Primeira Liga		22-02-2026
FC Porto	- (HT -)	Rio Ave
Portugal Primeira Liga		21-09-2025
Rio Ave	- (HT -)	FC Porto
Portugal Primeira Liga		03-02-2025
Rio Ave	2-2 (HT 1-0)	FC Porto
Portugal Primeira Liga		24-08-2024
FC Porto	2-0 (HT 2-0)	Rio Ave
Portugal Primeira Liga		03-02-2024
FC Porto	0-0 (HT 0-0)	Rio Ave
Portugal Primeira Liga		28-08-2023
Rio Ave	1-2 (HT 0-0)	FC Porto