Football Prediction: Casa Pia vs Moreirense

Casa Pia vs Moreirense

H2H, Stats & Predictions

Venue: Estadio Pina Manique

1.63
W L L W D L

SCHEDULED -

1.51

W W W D L D

Kick Off: 01-03-2026 16:00 h. Mathematical Predictions: Under 2.5 DRAW

Casa Pia and Moreirense face each other in the Portugal Primeira Liga match on Sunday 1st of March 2026. In the last five head-to-head matches the home team scored average of 1.50 goals, while the away team scored average of 1.00 goals. See the full head-to-head statistics in the table below.

In the last 10 matches Casa Pia have scored an average of 0.97 goals and conceded average of 0.97 goals while Moreirense scored 1.05 goals and conceded 1.32 goals.

Poisson distribution algorithm

We use Poisson distribution algorithm that expresses the probability of a given number of goals (2.5) occurring in football matches. The formula takes the expected average number of goals for home and away team, and calculates percentage probability of the prediction on the website.

Most probable outcome for Casa Pia vs Moreirense is:

Under 2.5 goals with a probability of 61.62%

Head to Head Record - Casa Pia vs. Moreirense

Date	Competition	Match
01-03-2026	Portugal Primeira Liga 2025	Casa Pia	- (HT -)	Moreirense
28-09-2025	Portugal Primeira Liga 2025	Moreirense	- (HT -)	Casa Pia
15-02-2025	Portugal Primeira Liga 2024	Moreirense	3-2 (HT 3-0)	Casa Pia
14-09-2024	Portugal Primeira Liga 2024	Casa Pia	3-1 (HT 0-1)	Moreirense
12-05-2024	Portugal Primeira Liga 2023	Casa Pia	0-1 (HT 0-1)	Moreirense
08-01-2024	Portugal Primeira Liga 2023	Moreirense	1-4 (HT 1-3)	Casa Pia

Competition		Date
Portugal Primeira Liga		01-03-2026
Casa Pia	- (HT -)	Moreirense
Portugal Primeira Liga		28-09-2025
Moreirense	- (HT -)	Casa Pia
Portugal Primeira Liga		15-02-2025
Moreirense	3-2 (HT 3-0)	Casa Pia
Portugal Primeira Liga		14-09-2024
Casa Pia	3-1 (HT 0-1)	Moreirense
Portugal Primeira Liga		12-05-2024
Casa Pia	0-1 (HT 0-1)	Moreirense
Portugal Primeira Liga		08-01-2024
Moreirense	1-4 (HT 1-3)	Casa Pia