Football Prediction: FC Porto vs Arouca

FC Porto vs Arouca

H2H, Stats & Predictions

Venue: Dragon Stadium

2.18
W W W W D L

SCHEDULED -

1.71

D D L W W D

Kick Off: 01-03-2026 16:00 h. Mathematical Predictions: Over 2.5 Home WIN

FC Porto and Arouca face each other in the Portugal Primeira Liga match on Sunday 1st of March 2026. In the last five head-to-head matches the home team scored average of 2.50 goals, while the away team scored average of 0.50 goals. See the full head-to-head statistics in the table below.

In the last 10 matches FC Porto have scored an average of 1.99 goals and conceded average of 1.99 goals while Arouca scored 1.43 goals and conceded 1.65 goals.

Poisson distribution algorithm

We use Poisson distribution algorithm that expresses the probability of a given number of goals (2.5) occurring in football matches. The formula takes the expected average number of goals for home and away team, and calculates percentage probability of the prediction on the website.

Most probable outcome for FC Porto vs Arouca is:

Over 2.5 goals with a probability of 74.52%

Head to Head Record - FC Porto vs. Arouca

Date	Competition	Match
01-03-2026	Portugal Primeira Liga 2025	FC Porto	- (HT -)	Arouca
28-09-2025	Portugal Primeira Liga 2025	Arouca	- (HT -)	FC Porto
01-03-2025	Portugal Primeira Liga 2024	Arouca	0-2 (HT 0-1)	FC Porto
29-09-2024	Portugal Primeira Liga 2024	FC Porto	4-0 (HT 0-0)	Arouca
12-02-2024	Portugal Primeira Liga 2023	Arouca	3-2 (HT 2-1)	FC Porto
03-09-2023	Portugal Primeira Liga 2023	FC Porto	1-1 (HT 0-0)	Arouca

Competition		Date
Portugal Primeira Liga		01-03-2026
FC Porto	- (HT -)	Arouca
Portugal Primeira Liga		28-09-2025
Arouca	- (HT -)	FC Porto
Portugal Primeira Liga		01-03-2025
Arouca	0-2 (HT 0-1)	FC Porto
Portugal Primeira Liga		29-09-2024
FC Porto	4-0 (HT 0-0)	Arouca
Portugal Primeira Liga		12-02-2024
Arouca	3-2 (HT 2-1)	FC Porto
Portugal Primeira Liga		03-09-2023
FC Porto	1-1 (HT 0-0)	Arouca