Football Prediction: Rio Ave vs Famalicao

Rio Ave vs Famalicao

H2H, Stats & Predictions

Venue: Estadio dos Arcos

1.72
D D D W L L

SCHEDULED -

1.64

W W W L L D

Kick Off: 01-03-2026 16:00 h. Mathematical Predictions: Under 2.5 DRAW

Rio Ave and Famalicao face each other in the Portugal Primeira Liga match on Sunday 1st of March 2026. In the last five head-to-head matches the home team scored average of 1.00 goals, while the away team scored average of 1.00 goals. See the full head-to-head statistics in the table below.

In the last 10 matches Rio Ave have scored an average of 1.51 goals and conceded average of 1.51 goals while Famalicao scored 1.26 goals and conceded 1.29 goals.

Poisson distribution algorithm

We use Poisson distribution algorithm that expresses the probability of a given number of goals (2.5) occurring in football matches. The formula takes the expected average number of goals for home and away team, and calculates percentage probability of the prediction on the website.

Most probable outcome for Rio Ave vs Famalicao is:

Under 2.5 goals with a probability of 56.84%

Head to Head Record - Rio Ave vs. Famalicao

Date	Competition	Match
01-03-2026	Portugal Primeira Liga 2025	Rio Ave	- (HT -)	Famalicao
28-09-2025	Portugal Primeira Liga 2025	Famalicao	- (HT -)	Rio Ave
10-03-2025	Portugal Primeira Liga 2024	Famalicao	1-0 (HT 1-0)	Rio Ave
04-10-2024	Portugal Primeira Liga 2024	Rio Ave	1-1 (HT 0-0)	Famalicao
16-02-2024	Portugal Primeira Liga 2023	Famalicao	2-1 (HT 1-1)	Rio Ave
16-09-2023	Portugal Primeira Liga 2023	Rio Ave	1-1 (HT 0-1)	Famalicao

Competition		Date
Portugal Primeira Liga		01-03-2026
Rio Ave	- (HT -)	Famalicao
Portugal Primeira Liga		28-09-2025
Famalicao	- (HT -)	Rio Ave
Portugal Primeira Liga		10-03-2025
Famalicao	1-0 (HT 1-0)	Rio Ave
Portugal Primeira Liga		04-10-2024
Rio Ave	1-1 (HT 0-0)	Famalicao
Portugal Primeira Liga		16-02-2024
Famalicao	2-1 (HT 1-1)	Rio Ave
Portugal Primeira Liga		16-09-2023
Rio Ave	1-1 (HT 0-1)	Famalicao