Football Prediction: Guimaraes vs Alverca

Guimaraes vs Alverca

H2H, Stats & Predictions

Venue: Estadio D. Afonso Henriques

0.95
L L W W L W

SCHEDULED -

0.81

D W W D W

Kick Off: 01-03-2026 16:00 h. Mathematical Predictions: Under 2.5 DRAW

Guimaraes and Alverca face each other in the Portugal Primeira Liga match on Sunday 1st of March 2026. In the last five head-to-head matches the home team scored average of 0.00 goals, while the away team scored average of 0.00 goals. See the full head-to-head statistics in the table below.

In the last 10 matches Guimaraes have scored an average of 1.85 goals and conceded average of 1.85 goals while Alverca scored 1.50 goals and conceded 1.00 goals.

Poisson distribution algorithm

We use Poisson distribution algorithm that expresses the probability of a given number of goals (2.5) occurring in football matches. The formula takes the expected average number of goals for home and away team, and calculates percentage probability of the prediction on the website.

Most probable outcome for Guimaraes vs Alverca is:

Under 2.5 goals with a probability of 74.11%

Head to Head Record - Guimaraes vs. Alverca

Date	Competition	Match
01-03-2026	Portugal Primeira Liga 2025	Guimaraes	- (HT -)	Alverca
28-09-2025	Portugal Primeira Liga 2025	Alverca	- (HT -)	Guimaraes

Competition		Date
Portugal Primeira Liga		01-03-2026
Guimaraes	- (HT -)	Alverca
Portugal Primeira Liga		28-09-2025
Alverca	- (HT -)	Guimaraes