Moreirense vs Nacional

H2H, Stats & Predictions

Venue: Parque Joaquim de Almeida Freitas

1.04
W L W L W W

SCHEDULED -

0.95

L L W L D L

Kick Off: 08-03-2026 18:00 h. Mathematical Predictions: Under 2.5 and DRAW

Moreirense and Nacional face each other in the Portugal Primeira Liga match on Sunday 8th of March 2026. The two teams have met 2 times in head-to-head matches. The home team scored average of 0.50 goals, while the away team scored average of 1.00 goals. See the full head-to-head statistics in the table below.

In the last 10 matches Moreirense have scored an average of 1.36 goals and conceded average of 1.36 goals while Nacional scored 0.74 goals and conceded 1.26 goals.

Poisson distribution algorithm

We use Poisson distribution algorithm that expresses the probability of a given number of goals (2.5) occurring in football matches. The formula takes the expected average number of goals for home and away team, and calculates percentage probability of the prediction on the website.

Most probable outcome for Moreirense vs Nacional is:

Under 2.5 goals with a probability of 68.01%

Head to Head Record - Moreirense vs. Nacional

Date	Competition	Match
08-03-2026	Portugal Primeira Liga 2025	Moreirense	- (HT -)	Nacional
04-10-2025	Portugal Primeira Liga 2025	Nacional	- (HT -)	Moreirense
27-04-2025	Portugal Primeira Liga 2024	Moreirense	1-1 (HT 0-0)	Nacional
14-12-2024	Portugal Primeira Liga 2024	Nacional	1-0 (HT 0-0)	Moreirense

Competition		Date
Portugal Primeira Liga		08-03-2026
Moreirense	- (HT -)	Nacional
Portugal Primeira Liga		04-10-2025
Nacional	- (HT -)	Moreirense
Portugal Primeira Liga		27-04-2025
Moreirense	1-1 (HT 0-0)	Nacional
Portugal Primeira Liga		14-12-2024
Nacional	1-0 (HT 0-0)	Moreirense

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