Football Prediction: Tondela vs Rio Ave

Tondela vs Rio Ave

H2H, Stats & Predictions

Venue: Joocadoso Stadium

0.96
D L L L L L

SCHEDULED -

0.75

D D D D D W

Kick Off: 08-03-2026 16:00 h. Mathematical Predictions: Under 2.5 DRAW

Tondela and Rio Ave face each other in the Portugal Primeira Liga match on Sunday 8th of March 2026. In the last five head-to-head matches the home team scored average of 0.00 goals, while the away team scored average of 0.00 goals. See the full head-to-head statistics in the table below.

In the last 10 matches Tondela have scored an average of 1.33 goals and conceded average of 1.33 goals while Rio Ave scored 0.93 goals and conceded 1.56 goals.

Poisson distribution algorithm

We use Poisson distribution algorithm that expresses the probability of a given number of goals (2.5) occurring in football matches. The formula takes the expected average number of goals for home and away team, and calculates percentage probability of the prediction on the website.

Most probable outcome for Tondela vs Rio Ave is:

Under 2.5 goals with a probability of 75.24%

Head to Head Record - Tondela vs. Rio Ave

Date	Competition	Match
08-03-2026	Portugal Primeira Liga 2025	Tondela	- (HT -)	Rio Ave
05-10-2025	Portugal Primeira Liga 2025	Rio Ave	- (HT -)	Tondela

Competition		Date
Portugal Primeira Liga		08-03-2026
Tondela	- (HT -)	Rio Ave
Portugal Primeira Liga		05-10-2025
Rio Ave	- (HT -)	Tondela