FC Porto vs Moreirense

H2H, Stats & Predictions

Venue: Dragon Stadium

2.05
W W W W W W

SCHEDULED -

0.93

W L W L W W

Kick Off: 15-03-2026 18:00 h. Mathematical Predictions: Over 2.5 and Home WIN

FC Porto and Moreirense face each other in the Portugal Primeira Liga match on Sunday 15th of March 2026. The two teams have met 5 times in head-to-head matches. The home team scored average of 2.80 goals, while the away team scored average of 0.80 goals. See the full head-to-head statistics in the table below.

In the last 10 matches FC Porto have scored an average of 1.98 goals and conceded average of 1.98 goals while Moreirense scored 1.00 goals and conceded 1.38 goals.

Poisson distribution algorithm

We use Poisson distribution algorithm that expresses the probability of a given number of goals (2.5) occurring in football matches. The formula takes the expected average number of goals for home and away team, and calculates percentage probability of the prediction on the website.

Most probable outcome for FC Porto vs Moreirense is:

Over 2.5 goals with a probability of 57.34%

Head to Head Record - FC Porto vs. Moreirense

Date	Competition	Match
15-03-2026	Portugal Primeira Liga 2025	FC Porto	- (HT -)	Moreirense
27-10-2025	Portugal Primeira Liga 2025	Moreirense	- (HT -)	FC Porto
02-05-2025	Portugal Primeira Liga 2024	FC Porto	3-1 (HT 1-1)	Moreirense
21-12-2024	Portugal Primeira Liga 2024	Moreirense	0-3 (HT 0-1)	FC Porto
24-11-2024	Portugal Taça de Portugal 2024	Moreirense	2-1 (HT 1-1)	FC Porto
20-01-2024	Portugal Primeira Liga 2023	FC Porto	5-0 (HT 1-0)	Moreirense
14-08-2023	Portugal Primeira Liga 2023	Moreirense	1-2 (HT 0-0)	FC Porto

Competition		Date
Portugal Primeira Liga		15-03-2026
FC Porto	- (HT -)	Moreirense
Portugal Primeira Liga		27-10-2025
Moreirense	- (HT -)	FC Porto
Portugal Primeira Liga		02-05-2025
FC Porto	3-1 (HT 1-1)	Moreirense
Portugal Primeira Liga		21-12-2024
Moreirense	0-3 (HT 0-1)	FC Porto
Portugal Taça de Portugal		24-11-2024
Moreirense	2-1 (HT 1-1)	FC Porto
Portugal Primeira Liga		20-01-2024
FC Porto	5-0 (HT 1-0)	Moreirense
Portugal Primeira Liga		14-08-2023
Moreirense	1-2 (HT 0-0)	FC Porto

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