Nacional vs Estoril

H2H, Stats & Predictions

Venue: Estadio da Madeira

1.46
L L W L D L

SCHEDULED -

1.54

L L W L D L

Kick Off: 15-03-2026 18:00 h. Mathematical Predictions: Over 2.5 and Away WIN

Nacional and Estoril face each other in the Portugal Primeira Liga match on Sunday 15th of March 2026. The two teams have met 2 times in head-to-head matches. The home team scored average of 1.00 goals, while the away team scored average of 1.50 goals. See the full head-to-head statistics in the table below.

In the last 10 matches Nacional have scored an average of 1.41 goals and conceded average of 1.41 goals while Estoril scored 1.49 goals and conceded 1.97 goals.

Poisson distribution algorithm

We use Poisson distribution algorithm that expresses the probability of a given number of goals (2.5) occurring in football matches. The formula takes the expected average number of goals for home and away team, and calculates percentage probability of the prediction on the website.

Most probable outcome for Nacional vs Estoril is:

Over 2.5 goals with a probability of 57.73%

Head to Head Record - Nacional vs. Estoril

Date	Competition	Match
15-03-2026	Portugal Primeira Liga 2025	Nacional	- (HT -)	Estoril
26-10-2025	Portugal Primeira Liga 2025	Estoril	- (HT -)	Nacional
15-02-2025	Portugal Primeira Liga 2024	Nacional	2-2 (HT 1-1)	Estoril
15-09-2024	Portugal Primeira Liga 2024	Estoril	1-0 (HT 1-0)	Nacional

Competition		Date
Portugal Primeira Liga		15-03-2026
Nacional	- (HT -)	Estoril
Portugal Primeira Liga		26-10-2025
Estoril	- (HT -)	Nacional
Portugal Primeira Liga		15-02-2025
Nacional	2-2 (HT 1-1)	Estoril
Portugal Primeira Liga		15-09-2024
Estoril	1-0 (HT 1-0)	Nacional

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