Football Prediction: Rio Ave vs Estrela

Rio Ave vs Estrela

H2H, Stats & Predictions

Venue: Estadio dos Arcos

1.53
D D D D D W

SCHEDULED -

0.80

D D L D L L

Kick Off: 15-03-2026 16:00 h. Mathematical Predictions: Under 2.5 Home WIN

Rio Ave and Estrela face each other in the Portugal Primeira Liga match on Sunday 15th of March 2026. In the last five head-to-head matches the home team scored average of 1.50 goals, while the away team scored average of 0.50 goals. See the full head-to-head statistics in the table below.

In the last 10 matches Rio Ave have scored an average of 1.53 goals and conceded average of 1.53 goals while Estrela scored 0.53 goals and conceded 1.55 goals.

Poisson distribution algorithm

We use Poisson distribution algorithm that expresses the probability of a given number of goals (2.5) occurring in football matches. The formula takes the expected average number of goals for home and away team, and calculates percentage probability of the prediction on the website.

Most probable outcome for Rio Ave vs Estrela is:

Under 2.5 goals with a probability of 58.94%

Head to Head Record - Rio Ave vs. Estrela

Date	Competition	Match
15-03-2026	Portugal Primeira Liga 2025	Rio Ave	- (HT -)	Estrela
25-10-2025	Portugal Primeira Liga 2025	Estrela	- (HT -)	Rio Ave
05-05-2025	Portugal Primeira Liga 2024	Rio Ave	2-0 (HT 0-0)	Estrela
23-12-2024	Portugal Primeira Liga 2024	Estrela	1-0 (HT 1-0)	Rio Ave
14-04-2024	Portugal Primeira Liga 2023	Estrela	2-2 (HT 1-1)	Rio Ave
02-12-2023	Portugal Primeira Liga 2023	Rio Ave	1-1 (HT 0-0)	Estrela

Competition		Date
Portugal Primeira Liga		15-03-2026
Rio Ave	- (HT -)	Estrela
Portugal Primeira Liga		25-10-2025
Estrela	- (HT -)	Rio Ave
Portugal Primeira Liga		05-05-2025
Rio Ave	2-0 (HT 0-0)	Estrela
Portugal Primeira Liga		23-12-2024
Estrela	1-0 (HT 1-0)	Rio Ave
Portugal Primeira Liga		14-04-2024
Estrela	2-2 (HT 1-1)	Rio Ave
Portugal Primeira Liga		02-12-2023
Rio Ave	1-1 (HT 0-0)	Estrela