Football Prediction: Sporting CP vs Tondela

Sporting CP vs Tondela

H2H, Stats & Predictions

Venue: Estadio Jose Alvalade XXI

3.01
W W L D W D

SCHEDULED -

1.51

L L L L D W

Kick Off: 15-03-2026 16:00 h. Mathematical Predictions: Over 2.5 Home WIN

Sporting CP and Tondela face each other in the Portugal Primeira Liga match on Sunday 15th of March 2026. In the last five head-to-head matches the home team scored average of 4.00 goals, while the away team scored average of 0.00 goals. See the full head-to-head statistics in the table below.

In the last 10 matches Sporting CP have scored an average of 2.35 goals and conceded average of 2.35 goals while Tondela scored 1.40 goals and conceded 2.00 goals.

Poisson distribution algorithm

We use Poisson distribution algorithm that expresses the probability of a given number of goals (2.5) occurring in football matches. The formula takes the expected average number of goals for home and away team, and calculates percentage probability of the prediction on the website.

Most probable outcome for Sporting CP vs Tondela is:

Over 2.5 goals with a probability of 66.03%

Head to Head Record - Sporting CP vs. Tondela

Date	Competition	Match
15-03-2026	Portugal Primeira Liga 2025	Sporting CP	- (HT -)	Tondela
26-10-2025	Portugal Primeira Liga 2025	Tondela	- (HT -)	Sporting CP
09-01-2024	Portugal Taça de Portugal 2023	Sporting CP	4-0 (HT 3-0)	Tondela

Competition		Date
Portugal Primeira Liga		15-03-2026
Sporting CP	- (HT -)	Tondela
Portugal Primeira Liga		26-10-2025
Tondela	- (HT -)	Sporting CP
Portugal Taça de Portugal		09-01-2024
Sporting CP	4-0 (HT 3-0)	Tondela