Football Prediction: Estoril vs Rio Ave

Estoril vs Rio Ave

H2H, Stats & Predictions

Venue: Estadio Antonio Coimbra da Mota

1.92
L D L D W D

SCHEDULED -

1.57

D D D D D W

Kick Off: 22-03-2026 16:00 h. Mathematical Predictions: Over 2.5 Home WIN

Estoril and Rio Ave face each other in the Portugal Primeira Liga match on Sunday 22nd of March 2026. In the last five head-to-head matches the home team scored average of 2.00 goals, while the away team scored average of 0.50 goals. See the full head-to-head statistics in the table below.

In the last 10 matches Estoril have scored an average of 1.34 goals and conceded average of 1.34 goals while Rio Ave scored 0.93 goals and conceded 1.56 goals.

Poisson distribution algorithm

We use Poisson distribution algorithm that expresses the probability of a given number of goals (2.5) occurring in football matches. The formula takes the expected average number of goals for home and away team, and calculates percentage probability of the prediction on the website.

Most probable outcome for Estoril vs Rio Ave is:

Over 2.5 goals with a probability of 67.63%

Head to Head Record - Estoril vs. Rio Ave

Date	Competition	Match
22-03-2026	Portugal Primeira Liga 2025	Estoril	- (HT -)	Rio Ave
01-11-2025	Portugal Primeira Liga 2025	Rio Ave	- (HT -)	Estoril
22-02-2025	Portugal Primeira Liga 2024	Estoril	2-1 (HT 0-0)	Rio Ave
21-09-2024	Portugal Primeira Liga 2024	Rio Ave	2-2 (HT 1-0)	Estoril
31-01-2024	Portugal Primeira Liga 2023	Rio Ave	1-1 (HT 0-0)	Estoril
20-08-2023	Portugal Primeira Liga 2023	Estoril	2-0 (HT 0-0)	Rio Ave

Competition		Date
Portugal Primeira Liga		22-03-2026
Estoril	- (HT -)	Rio Ave
Portugal Primeira Liga		01-11-2025
Rio Ave	- (HT -)	Estoril
Portugal Primeira Liga		22-02-2025
Estoril	2-1 (HT 0-0)	Rio Ave
Portugal Primeira Liga		21-09-2024
Rio Ave	2-2 (HT 1-0)	Estoril
Portugal Primeira Liga		31-01-2024
Rio Ave	1-1 (HT 0-0)	Estoril
Portugal Primeira Liga		20-08-2023
Estoril	2-0 (HT 0-0)	Rio Ave