Moreirense vs Arouca
H2H, Stats & Predictions
Venue: Parque Joaquim de Almeida Freitas

L W W W W D
SCHEDULED
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1.01


D
D
L
W
W
D
Kick Off: 22-03-2026 16:00 h. Mathematical Predictions: Under 2.5 Home WIN |
In the last 10 matches Moreirense have scored an average of 1.30 goals and conceded average of 1.30 goals while Arouca scored 1.43 goals and conceded 1.65 goals.
Poisson distribution algorithm
We use Poisson distribution algorithm that expresses the probability of a given number of goals (2.5) occurring in football matches. The formula takes the expected average number of goals for home and away team, and calculates percentage probability of the prediction on the website.
Most probable outcome for Moreirense vs Arouca is:
Under 2.5 goals with a probability of 50.34%
Head to Head Record - Moreirense vs. Arouca
Date | Competition | Match | ||
---|---|---|---|---|
22-03-2026 | Portugal Primeira Liga 2025 | Moreirense | - (HT -) | Arouca | 02-11-2025 | Portugal Primeira Liga 2025 | Arouca | - (HT -) | Moreirense | 24-01-2025 | Portugal Primeira Liga 2024 | Arouca | 1-0 (HT 0-0) | Moreirense | 18-08-2024 | Portugal Primeira Liga 2024 | Moreirense | 3-1 (HT 2-1) | Arouca | 17-03-2024 | Portugal Primeira Liga 2023 | Moreirense | 1-0 (HT 1-0) | Arouca | 27-10-2023 | Portugal Primeira Liga 2023 | Arouca | 0-1 (HT 0-1) | Moreirense |
Competition | Date | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Portugal Primeira Liga | 22-03-2026 | ||||
Moreirense | - (HT -) | Arouca | |||
Portugal Primeira Liga | 02-11-2025 | ||||
Arouca | - (HT -) | Moreirense | |||
Portugal Primeira Liga | 24-01-2025 | ||||
Arouca | 1-0 (HT 0-0) | Moreirense | |||
Portugal Primeira Liga | 18-08-2024 | ||||
Moreirense | 3-1 (HT 2-1) | Arouca | |||
Portugal Primeira Liga | 17-03-2024 | ||||
Moreirense | 1-0 (HT 1-0) | Arouca | |||
Portugal Primeira Liga | 27-10-2023 | ||||
Arouca | 0-1 (HT 0-1) | Moreirense |