Football Prediction: Casa Pia vs Benfica

Casa Pia vs Benfica

H2H, Stats & Predictions

Venue: Estadio Pina Manique

1.57
L L W L L W

SCHEDULED -

1.75

W W W D W W

Kick Off: 04-04-2026 18:00 h. Mathematical Predictions: Over 2.5 DRAW

Casa Pia and Benfica face each other in the Portugal Primeira Liga match on Saturday 4th of April 2026. In the last five head-to-head matches the home team scored average of 1.50 goals, while the away team scored average of 1.00 goals. See the full head-to-head statistics in the table below.

In the last 10 matches Casa Pia have scored an average of 0.95 goals and conceded average of 0.95 goals while Benfica scored 1.50 goals and conceded 1.36 goals.

Poisson distribution algorithm

We use Poisson distribution algorithm that expresses the probability of a given number of goals (2.5) occurring in football matches. The formula takes the expected average number of goals for home and away team, and calculates percentage probability of the prediction on the website.

Most probable outcome for Casa Pia vs Benfica is:

Over 2.5 goals with a probability of 64.43%

Head to Head Record - Casa Pia vs. Benfica

Date	Competition	Match
04-04-2026	Portugal Primeira Liga 2025	Casa Pia	- (HT -)	Benfica
09-11-2025	Portugal Primeira Liga 2025	Benfica	- (HT -)	Casa Pia
25-01-2025	Portugal Primeira Liga 2024	Casa Pia	3-1 (HT 1-1)	Benfica
17-08-2024	Portugal Primeira Liga 2024	Benfica	3-0 (HT 0-0)	Casa Pia
17-03-2024	Portugal Primeira Liga 2023	Casa Pia	0-1 (HT 0-0)	Benfica
28-10-2023	Portugal Primeira Liga 2023	Benfica	1-1 (HT 1-0)	Casa Pia

Competition		Date
Portugal Primeira Liga		04-04-2026
Casa Pia	- (HT -)	Benfica
Portugal Primeira Liga		09-11-2025
Benfica	- (HT -)	Casa Pia
Portugal Primeira Liga		25-01-2025
Casa Pia	3-1 (HT 1-1)	Benfica
Portugal Primeira Liga		17-08-2024
Benfica	3-0 (HT 0-0)	Casa Pia
Portugal Primeira Liga		17-03-2024
Casa Pia	0-1 (HT 0-0)	Benfica
Portugal Primeira Liga		28-10-2023
Benfica	1-1 (HT 1-0)	Casa Pia