Nacional vs Estrela

H2H, Stats & Predictions

Venue: Estadio da Madeira

0.97
L L W L D L

SCHEDULED -

1.22

W D L D D L

Kick Off: 04-04-2026 18:00 h. Mathematical Predictions: Under 2.5 and DRAW

Nacional and Estrela face each other in the Portugal Primeira Liga match on Saturday 4th of April 2026. The two teams have met 2 times in head-to-head matches. The home team scored average of 0.00 goals, while the away team scored average of 1.50 goals. See the full head-to-head statistics in the table below.

In the last 10 matches Nacional have scored an average of 1.41 goals and conceded average of 1.41 goals while Estrela scored 0.51 goals and conceded 1.51 goals.

Poisson distribution algorithm

We use Poisson distribution algorithm that expresses the probability of a given number of goals (2.5) occurring in football matches. The formula takes the expected average number of goals for home and away team, and calculates percentage probability of the prediction on the website.

Most probable outcome for Nacional vs Estrela is:

Under 2.5 goals with a probability of 62.54%

Head to Head Record - Nacional vs. Estrela

Date	Competition	Match
04-04-2026	Portugal Primeira Liga 2025	Nacional	- (HT -)	Estrela
09-11-2025	Portugal Primeira Liga 2025	Estrela	- (HT -)	Nacional
06-04-2025	Portugal Primeira Liga 2024	Nacional	0-1 (HT 0-0)	Estrela
10-11-2024	Portugal Primeira Liga 2024	Estrela	2-0 (HT 0-0)	Nacional

Competition		Date
Portugal Primeira Liga		04-04-2026
Nacional	- (HT -)	Estrela
Portugal Primeira Liga		09-11-2025
Estrela	- (HT -)	Nacional
Portugal Primeira Liga		06-04-2025
Nacional	0-1 (HT 0-0)	Estrela
Portugal Primeira Liga		10-11-2024
Estrela	2-0 (HT 0-0)	Nacional

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