Football Prediction: Moreirense vs Estoril

Moreirense vs Estoril

H2H, Stats & Predictions

Venue: Parque Joaquim de Almeida Freitas

2.01
L W W W W D

SCHEDULED -

2.02

L D L D W D

Kick Off: 19-04-2026 18:00 h. Mathematical Predictions: Over 2.5 Home WIN

Moreirense and Estoril face each other in the Portugal Primeira Liga match on Sunday 19th of April 2026. In the last five head-to-head matches the home team scored average of 2.00 goals, while the away team scored average of 1.50 goals. See the full head-to-head statistics in the table below.

In the last 10 matches Moreirense have scored an average of 1.30 goals and conceded average of 1.30 goals while Estoril scored 1.53 goals and conceded 1.97 goals.

Poisson distribution algorithm

We use Poisson distribution algorithm that expresses the probability of a given number of goals (2.5) occurring in football matches. The formula takes the expected average number of goals for home and away team, and calculates percentage probability of the prediction on the website.

Most probable outcome for Moreirense vs Estoril is:

Over 2.5 goals with a probability of 76.63%

Head to Head Record - Moreirense vs. Estoril

Date	Competition	Match
19-04-2026	Portugal Primeira Liga 2025	Moreirense	- (HT -)	Estoril
07-12-2025	Portugal Primeira Liga 2025	Estoril	- (HT -)	Moreirense
11-05-2025	Portugal Primeira Liga 2024	Moreirense	2-2 (HT 1-0)	Estoril
28-12-2024	Portugal Primeira Liga 2024	Estoril	2-2 (HT 2-1)	Moreirense
18-05-2024	Portugal Primeira Liga 2023	Moreirense	2-1 (HT 1-0)	Estoril
13-01-2024	Portugal Primeira Liga 2023	Estoril	1-3 (HT 0-2)	Moreirense

Competition		Date
Portugal Primeira Liga		19-04-2026
Moreirense	- (HT -)	Estoril
Portugal Primeira Liga		07-12-2025
Estoril	- (HT -)	Moreirense
Portugal Primeira Liga		11-05-2025
Moreirense	2-2 (HT 1-0)	Estoril
Portugal Primeira Liga		28-12-2024
Estoril	2-2 (HT 2-1)	Moreirense
Portugal Primeira Liga		18-05-2024
Moreirense	2-1 (HT 1-0)	Estoril
Portugal Primeira Liga		13-01-2024
Estoril	1-3 (HT 0-2)	Moreirense