Football Prediction: Alverca vs Arouca

Alverca vs Arouca

H2H, Stats & Predictions

Venue:

1.82
L D L L D W

SCHEDULED -

0.94

D D L W W D

Kick Off: 26-04-2026 18:00 h. Mathematical Predictions: Over 2.5 Home WIN

Alverca and Arouca face each other in the Portugal Primeira Liga match on Sunday 26th of April 2026. In the last five head-to-head matches the home team scored average of 0.00 goals, while the away team scored average of 0.00 goals. See the full head-to-head statistics in the table below.

In the last 10 matches Alverca have scored an average of 3.80 goals and conceded average of 3.80 goals while Arouca scored 1.43 goals and conceded 1.65 goals.

Poisson distribution algorithm

We use Poisson distribution algorithm that expresses the probability of a given number of goals (2.5) occurring in football matches. The formula takes the expected average number of goals for home and away team, and calculates percentage probability of the prediction on the website.

Most probable outcome for Alverca vs Arouca is:

Over 2.5 goals with a probability of 52.06%

Head to Head Record - Alverca vs. Arouca

Date	Competition	Match
26-04-2026	Portugal Primeira Liga 2025	Alverca	- (HT -)	Arouca
14-12-2025	Portugal Primeira Liga 2025	Arouca	- (HT -)	Alverca

Competition		Date
Portugal Primeira Liga		26-04-2026
Alverca	- (HT -)	Arouca
Portugal Primeira Liga		14-12-2025
Arouca	- (HT -)	Alverca