Football Prediction: Benfica vs Moreirense

Benfica vs Moreirense

H2H, Stats & Predictions

Venue: Estádio do Sport Lisboa e Benfica

2.09
W W W D W W

SCHEDULED -

1.42

L W W W W D

Kick Off: 26-04-2026 18:00 h. Mathematical Predictions: Over 2.5 Home WIN

Benfica and Moreirense face each other in the Portugal Primeira Liga match on Sunday 26th of April 2026. In the last five head-to-head matches the home team scored average of 3.00 goals, while the away team scored average of 1.00 goals. See the full head-to-head statistics in the table below.

In the last 10 matches Benfica have scored an average of 2.08 goals and conceded average of 2.08 goals while Moreirense scored 1.03 goals and conceded 1.33 goals.

Poisson distribution algorithm

We use Poisson distribution algorithm that expresses the probability of a given number of goals (2.5) occurring in football matches. The formula takes the expected average number of goals for home and away team, and calculates percentage probability of the prediction on the website.

Most probable outcome for Benfica vs Moreirense is:

Over 2.5 goals with a probability of 68.08%

Head to Head Record - Benfica vs. Moreirense

Date	Competition	Match
26-04-2026	Portugal Primeira Liga 2025	Benfica	- (HT -)	Moreirense
14-12-2025	Portugal Primeira Liga 2025	Moreirense	- (HT -)	Benfica
08-02-2025	Portugal Primeira Liga 2024	Benfica	3-2 (HT 3-1)	Moreirense
30-08-2024	Portugal Primeira Liga 2024	Moreirense	1-1 (HT 0-0)	Benfica
14-04-2024	Portugal Primeira Liga 2023	Benfica	3-0 (HT 2-0)	Moreirense
03-12-2023	Portugal Primeira Liga 2023	Moreirense	0-0 (HT 0-0)	Benfica

Competition		Date
Portugal Primeira Liga		26-04-2026
Benfica	- (HT -)	Moreirense
Portugal Primeira Liga		14-12-2025
Moreirense	- (HT -)	Benfica
Portugal Primeira Liga		08-02-2025
Benfica	3-2 (HT 3-1)	Moreirense
Portugal Primeira Liga		30-08-2024
Moreirense	1-1 (HT 0-0)	Benfica
Portugal Primeira Liga		14-04-2024
Benfica	3-0 (HT 2-0)	Moreirense
Portugal Primeira Liga		03-12-2023
Moreirense	0-0 (HT 0-0)	Benfica