Football Prediction: Casa Pia vs Tondela

Casa Pia vs Tondela

H2H, Stats & Predictions

Venue: Estadio Pina Manique

1.04
L L W L L W

SCHEDULED -

0.77

D L L L L L

Kick Off: 03-05-2026 18:00 h. Mathematical Predictions: Under 2.5 DRAW

Casa Pia and Tondela face each other in the Portugal Primeira Liga match on Sunday 3rd of May 2026. In the last five head-to-head matches the home team scored average of 0.00 goals, while the away team scored average of 0.00 goals. See the full head-to-head statistics in the table below.

In the last 10 matches Casa Pia have scored an average of 0.95 goals and conceded average of 0.95 goals while Tondela scored 1.17 goals and conceded 2.17 goals.

Poisson distribution algorithm

We use Poisson distribution algorithm that expresses the probability of a given number of goals (2.5) occurring in football matches. The formula takes the expected average number of goals for home and away team, and calculates percentage probability of the prediction on the website.

Most probable outcome for Casa Pia vs Tondela is:

Under 2.5 goals with a probability of 72.72%

Head to Head Record - Casa Pia vs. Tondela

Date	Competition	Match
03-05-2026	Portugal Primeira Liga 2025	Casa Pia	- (HT -)	Tondela
21-12-2025	Portugal Primeira Liga 2025	Tondela	- (HT -)	Casa Pia

Competition		Date
Portugal Primeira Liga		03-05-2026
Casa Pia	- (HT -)	Tondela
Portugal Primeira Liga		21-12-2025
Tondela	- (HT -)	Casa Pia