Football Prediction: Tondela vs Moreirense

Tondela vs Moreirense

H2H, Stats & Predictions

Venue: Joocadoso Stadium

0.89
D L L L L L

SCHEDULED -

0.79

L W W W W D

Kick Off: 10-05-2026 18:00 h. Mathematical Predictions: Under 2.5 DRAW

Tondela and Moreirense face each other in the Portugal Primeira Liga match on Sunday 10th of May 2026. In the last five head-to-head matches the home team scored average of 0.00 goals, while the away team scored average of 0.00 goals. See the full head-to-head statistics in the table below.

In the last 10 matches Tondela have scored an average of 1.33 goals and conceded average of 1.33 goals while Moreirense scored 1.03 goals and conceded 1.33 goals.

Poisson distribution algorithm

We use Poisson distribution algorithm that expresses the probability of a given number of goals (2.5) occurring in football matches. The formula takes the expected average number of goals for home and away team, and calculates percentage probability of the prediction on the website.

Most probable outcome for Tondela vs Moreirense is:

Under 2.5 goals with a probability of 76.38%

Head to Head Record - Tondela vs. Moreirense

Date	Competition	Match
10-05-2026	Portugal Primeira Liga 2025	Tondela	- (HT -)	Moreirense
28-12-2025	Portugal Primeira Liga 2025	Moreirense	- (HT -)	Tondela

Competition		Date
Portugal Primeira Liga		10-05-2026
Tondela	- (HT -)	Moreirense
Portugal Primeira Liga		28-12-2025
Moreirense	- (HT -)	Tondela