Football Prediction: Guimaraes vs Casa Pia

Guimaraes vs Casa Pia

H2H, Stats & Predictions

Venue: Estadio D. Afonso Henriques

1.59
W L L L W W

SCHEDULED -

1.64

W L L W D L

Kick Off: 10-05-2026 17:00 h. Mathematical Predictions: Under 2.5 DRAW

Guimaraes and Casa Pia face each other in the Portugal Primeira Liga match on Sunday 10th of May 2026. In the last five head-to-head matches the home team scored average of 0.50 goals, while the away team scored average of 1.00 goals. See the full head-to-head statistics in the table below.

In the last 10 matches Guimaraes have scored an average of 1.88 goals and conceded average of 1.88 goals while Casa Pia scored 1.42 goals and conceded 1.50 goals.

Poisson distribution algorithm

We use Poisson distribution algorithm that expresses the probability of a given number of goals (2.5) occurring in football matches. The formula takes the expected average number of goals for home and away team, and calculates percentage probability of the prediction on the website.

Most probable outcome for Guimaraes vs Casa Pia is:

Under 2.5 goals with a probability of 59.79%

Head to Head Record - Guimaraes vs. Casa Pia

Date	Competition	Match
10-05-2026	Portugal Primeira Liga 2025	Guimaraes	- (HT -)	Casa Pia
28-12-2025	Portugal Primeira Liga 2025	Casa Pia	- (HT -)	Guimaraes
01-03-2025	Portugal Primeira Liga 2024	Guimaraes	1-0 (HT 0-0)	Casa Pia
28-09-2024	Portugal Primeira Liga 2024	Casa Pia	1-1 (HT 1-0)	Guimaraes
24-02-2024	Portugal Primeira Liga 2023	Guimaraes	0-2 (HT 0-2)	Casa Pia
23-09-2023	Portugal Primeira Liga 2023	Casa Pia	0-0 (HT 0-0)	Guimaraes

Competition		Date
Portugal Primeira Liga		10-05-2026
Guimaraes	- (HT -)	Casa Pia
Portugal Primeira Liga		28-12-2025
Casa Pia	- (HT -)	Guimaraes
Portugal Primeira Liga		01-03-2025
Guimaraes	1-0 (HT 0-0)	Casa Pia
Portugal Primeira Liga		28-09-2024
Casa Pia	1-1 (HT 1-0)	Guimaraes
Portugal Primeira Liga		24-02-2024
Guimaraes	0-2 (HT 0-2)	Casa Pia
Portugal Primeira Liga		23-09-2023
Casa Pia	0-0 (HT 0-0)	Guimaraes