Football Prediction: Arouca vs Tondela

Arouca vs Tondela

H2H, Stats & Predictions

Venue: Aluca Municipal Stadium

1.54
L W W D D L

SCHEDULED -

1.62

L L L L D W

Kick Off: 17-05-2026 17:00 h. Mathematical Predictions: Under 2.5 DRAW

Arouca and Tondela face each other in the Portugal Primeira Liga match on Sunday 17th of May 2026. In the last five head-to-head matches the home team scored average of 0.00 goals, while the away team scored average of 0.00 goals. See the full head-to-head statistics in the table below.

In the last 10 matches Arouca have scored an average of 1.29 goals and conceded average of 1.29 goals while Tondela scored 1.40 goals and conceded 2.00 goals.

Poisson distribution algorithm

We use Poisson distribution algorithm that expresses the probability of a given number of goals (2.5) occurring in football matches. The formula takes the expected average number of goals for home and away team, and calculates percentage probability of the prediction on the website.

Most probable outcome for Arouca vs Tondela is:

Under 2.5 goals with a probability of 61.15%

Head to Head Record - Arouca vs. Tondela

Date	Competition	Match
17-05-2026	Portugal Primeira Liga 2025	Arouca	- (HT -)	Tondela
04-01-2026	Portugal Primeira Liga 2025	Tondela	- (HT -)	Arouca

Competition		Date
Portugal Primeira Liga		17-05-2026
Arouca	- (HT -)	Tondela
Portugal Primeira Liga		04-01-2026
Tondela	- (HT -)	Arouca