Football Prediction: SC Braga vs Estrela

SC Braga vs Estrela

H2H, Stats & Predictions

Venue: Estadio Municipal de Braga

1.80
W W D D D L

SCHEDULED -

0.74

L L L W L L

Kick Off: 17-05-2026 17:00 h. Mathematical Predictions: Under 2.5 Home WIN

SC Braga and Estrela face each other in the Portugal Primeira Liga match on Sunday 17th of May 2026. In the last five head-to-head matches the home team scored average of 2.00 goals, while the away team scored average of 0.50 goals. See the full head-to-head statistics in the table below.

In the last 10 matches SC Braga have scored an average of 1.79 goals and conceded average of 1.79 goals while Estrela scored 0.53 goals and conceded 1.61 goals.

Poisson distribution algorithm

We use Poisson distribution algorithm that expresses the probability of a given number of goals (2.5) occurring in football matches. The formula takes the expected average number of goals for home and away team, and calculates percentage probability of the prediction on the website.

Most probable outcome for SC Braga vs Estrela is:

Under 2.5 goals with a probability of 53.26%

Head to Head Record - SC Braga vs. Estrela

Date	Competition	Match
17-05-2026	Portugal Primeira Liga 2025	SC Braga	- (HT -)	Estrela
04-01-2026	Portugal Primeira Liga 2025	Estrela	- (HT -)	SC Braga
19-01-2025	Portugal Primeira Liga 2024	Estrela	0-1 (HT 0-0)	SC Braga
11-08-2024	Portugal Primeira Liga 2024	SC Braga	1-1 (HT 0-0)	Estrela
02-03-2024	Portugal Primeira Liga 2023	SC Braga	3-0 (HT 0-0)	Estrela
28-09-2023	Portugal Primeira Liga 2023	Estrela	2-4 (HT 0-1)	SC Braga

Competition		Date
Portugal Primeira Liga		17-05-2026
SC Braga	- (HT -)	Estrela
Portugal Primeira Liga		04-01-2026
Estrela	- (HT -)	SC Braga
Portugal Primeira Liga		19-01-2025
Estrela	0-1 (HT 0-0)	SC Braga
Portugal Primeira Liga		11-08-2024
SC Braga	1-1 (HT 0-0)	Estrela
Portugal Primeira Liga		02-03-2024
SC Braga	3-0 (HT 0-0)	Estrela
Portugal Primeira Liga		28-09-2023
Estrela	2-4 (HT 0-1)	SC Braga