Football Prediction: Nacional vs Guimaraes

Nacional vs Guimaraes

H2H, Stats & Predictions

Venue: Estadio da Madeira

1.21
L L D L D L

SCHEDULED -

1.65

L L W W L W

Kick Off: 17-05-2026 17:00 h. Mathematical Predictions: Over 2.5 Away WIN

Nacional and Guimaraes face each other in the Portugal Primeira Liga match on Sunday 17th of May 2026. In the last five head-to-head matches the home team scored average of 1.00 goals, while the away team scored average of 2.00 goals. See the full head-to-head statistics in the table below.

In the last 10 matches Nacional have scored an average of 1.45 goals and conceded average of 1.45 goals while Guimaraes scored 1.44 goals and conceded 1.17 goals.

Poisson distribution algorithm

We use Poisson distribution algorithm that expresses the probability of a given number of goals (2.5) occurring in football matches. The formula takes the expected average number of goals for home and away team, and calculates percentage probability of the prediction on the website.

Most probable outcome for Nacional vs Guimaraes is:

Over 2.5 goals with a probability of 54.32%

Head to Head Record - Nacional vs. Guimaraes

Date	Competition	Match
17-05-2026	Portugal Primeira Liga 2025	Nacional	- (HT -)	Guimaraes
04-01-2026	Portugal Primeira Liga 2025	Guimaraes	- (HT -)	Nacional
03-05-2025	Portugal Primeira Liga 2024	Nacional	1-2 (HT 0-1)	Guimaraes
23-12-2024	Portugal Primeira Liga 2024	Guimaraes	2-2 (HT 1-1)	Nacional

Competition		Date
Portugal Primeira Liga		17-05-2026
Nacional	- (HT -)	Guimaraes
Portugal Primeira Liga		04-01-2026
Guimaraes	- (HT -)	Nacional
Portugal Primeira Liga		03-05-2025
Nacional	1-2 (HT 0-1)	Guimaraes
Portugal Primeira Liga		23-12-2024
Guimaraes	2-2 (HT 1-1)	Nacional