Chaves vs Benfica

H2H, Stats & Predictions

Venue: Estadio Municipal de Chaves

0.87
W L W W L L

SCHEDULED -

1.68

D L W D W L

Kick Off: 17-10-2025 20:30 h. Mathematical Predictions: Under 2.5 and Away WIN

Chaves and Benfica face each other in the Portugal Taça de Portugal match on Friday 17th of October 2025. The two teams have met 2 times in head-to-head matches. The home team scored average of 0.00 goals, while the away team scored average of 1.50 goals. See the full head-to-head statistics in the table below.

In the last 10 matches Chaves have scored an average of 1.28 goals and conceded average of 1.28 goals while Benfica scored 1.49 goals and conceded 1.34 goals.

Poisson distribution algorithm

We use Poisson distribution algorithm that expresses the probability of a given number of goals (2.5) occurring in football matches. The formula takes the expected average number of goals for home and away team, and calculates percentage probability of the prediction on the website.

Most probable outcome for Chaves vs Benfica is:

Under 2.5 goals with a probability of 53.05%

Head to Head Record - Chaves vs. Benfica

Date	Competition	Match
17-10-2025	Portugal Taça de Portugal 2025	Chaves	- (HT -)	Benfica
29-03-2024	Portugal Primeira Liga 2023	Benfica	1-0 (HT 0-0)	Chaves
04-11-2023	Portugal Primeira Liga 2023	Chaves	0-2 (HT 0-0)	Benfica

Competition		Date
Portugal Taça de Portugal		17-10-2025
Chaves	- (HT -)	Benfica
Portugal Primeira Liga		29-03-2024
Benfica	1-0 (HT 0-0)	Chaves
Portugal Primeira Liga		04-11-2023
Chaves	0-2 (HT 0-0)	Benfica

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