União de Leiria vs Alverca

H2H, Stats & Predictions

Venue:

1.28
D D L W W L

PEN 2-2

1.00

L L D W W L

Kick Off: 18-10-2025 16:00 h. Mathematical Predictions: Under 2.5 and DRAW

União de Leiria and Alverca face each other in the Portugal Taça de Portugal match on Saturday 18th of October 2025. The two teams have met 1 times in head-to-head matches. The home team scored average of 2.00 goals, while the away team scored average of 2.00 goals. See the full head-to-head statistics in the table below.

In the last 10 matches União de Leiria have scored an average of 2.33 goals and conceded average of 2.33 goals while Alverca scored 1.67 goals and conceded 1.50 goals.

Poisson distribution algorithm

We use Poisson distribution algorithm that expresses the probability of a given number of goals (2.5) occurring in football matches. The formula takes the expected average number of goals for home and away team, and calculates percentage probability of the prediction on the website.

Most probable outcome for União de Leiria vs Alverca is:

Under 2.5 goals with a probability of 60.19%

Head to Head Record - União de Leiria vs. Alverca

Date	Competition	Match
18-10-2025	Portugal Taça de Portugal 2025	União de Leiria	2-2 (HT 1-0)	Alverca

Competition			Date
Portugal Taça de Portugal			18-10-2025
União de Leiria		2-2 (HT 1-0)	Alverca

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