Portimonense vs Arouca

H2H, Stats & Predictions

Venue:

1.23
W L W L L W

SCHEDULED -

1.63

D L W L D D

Kick Off: 19-10-2025 16:00 h. Mathematical Predictions: Over 2.5 and Away WIN

Portimonense and Arouca face each other in the Portugal Taça de Portugal match on Sunday 19th of October 2025. The two teams have met 2 times in head-to-head matches. The home team scored average of 1.00 goals, while the away team scored average of 1.50 goals. See the full head-to-head statistics in the table below.

In the last 10 matches Portimonense have scored an average of 1.05 goals and conceded average of 1.05 goals while Arouca scored 1.44 goals and conceded 1.63 goals.

Poisson distribution algorithm

We use Poisson distribution algorithm that expresses the probability of a given number of goals (2.5) occurring in football matches. The formula takes the expected average number of goals for home and away team, and calculates percentage probability of the prediction on the website.

Most probable outcome for Portimonense vs Arouca is:

Over 2.5 goals with a probability of 54.42%

Head to Head Record - Portimonense vs. Arouca

Date	Competition	Match
19-10-2025	Portugal Taça de Portugal 2025	Portimonense	- (HT -)	Arouca
03-02-2024	Portugal Primeira Liga 2023	Portimonense	1-2 (HT 0-0)	Arouca
26-08-2023	Portugal Primeira Liga 2023	Arouca	1-1 (HT 0-1)	Portimonense

Competition		Date
Portugal Taça de Portugal		19-10-2025
Portimonense	- (HT -)	Arouca
Portugal Primeira Liga		03-02-2024
Portimonense	1-2 (HT 0-0)	Arouca
Portugal Primeira Liga		26-08-2023
Arouca	1-1 (HT 0-1)	Portimonense

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